TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked No68c46,129$31,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,487.451631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c35,507$11,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,379.2298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes34c33,594$11,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,162.82,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No69c17,147$11,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,831.486346%29 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes31c11,377$3,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,830.7596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No69c10,880$7,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,507.25347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No69c9,783$6,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7501060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No69c9,333$6,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4401338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes32c5,686$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,890.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No69c4,565$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No9c4,234$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.3649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes31c3,883$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.276349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes31c3,330$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.4126040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No70c3,248$2,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,273.54971.4%35 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes32c3,203$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.2845547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed No29c2,943$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.633033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes32c2,930$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,992.4522348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No69c2,840$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.5829862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c2,260$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.581,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked No2c2,082$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.19520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-74%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No43c1,925$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.282259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c1,888$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,308.3741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes29c1,683$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.713534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes30c1,545$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.52330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes29c1,500$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes32c1,181$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.2648144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No38c1,180$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.146742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes30c1,007$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.820544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6905064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes26c968.63$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.593724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x627d…efe9backed Yes33c917.06$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes32c906.25$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea31…f286backed No29c850$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes60c830.54$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.1234643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No71c801.23$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.871855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No68c765.95$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.9340549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No70c750$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5258058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Yes61c750$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No70c742.51$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-78.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No9c623.53$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5316819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…337ebacked Yes29c565.52$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.521233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes47c523.78$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.3293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed No19c484.54$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.064753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes31c439.91$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes28c408.87$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.87425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Yes28c357.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.371942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1410233.3%34 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes48c352$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.6232843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8326744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c332.13$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes75c315.21$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.691681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick62cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes26c307.62$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.613661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20726046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes29c293.1$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.14738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c8d…4f17backed No69c250.45$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No47c241.43$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.742080%16 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeb5…f40fbacked Yes29c231.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.031136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked No69c222.36$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.382040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed Yes50c213.58$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.792661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c210.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No69c208.15$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.6321445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked Yes80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes51c196.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.273259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d6a…9952backed Yes54c189.68$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No33c187.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.734337.2%16 W · 27 L+7.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+285.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcbaa…a58abacked No55c182.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5a41backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+152.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes28c172.54$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.548617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.412544%11 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2915259.9%91 W · 61 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3397…3f53backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.295726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…c405backed Yes30c153.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.84520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes38c152.08$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.82147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No72c150.93$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.285959.3%35 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb444…8d6fbacked Yes29c148.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.28825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec4…d755backed Yes30c148.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.87520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x112c…1227backed Yes29c147.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.03520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked No69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No69c144.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9933144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes27c144.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.474233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes41c143.59$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3220431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes29c140$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.978042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4e1…cddabacked Yes30c132.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.29520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked No69c130.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes79c128$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.888659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes31c127.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.021145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes33c126.18$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.545028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4461…d919backed Yes31c122.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.58650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd1…8663backed Yes31c118$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x166c…93ecbacked Yes31c112.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes26c110.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.012941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No36c110$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.97347.9%35 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes32c109.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.38875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+58.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No70c106.2$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3423353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes28c104.6$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.682236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No38c100.11$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5624238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.