TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,896,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,798,129

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,896,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 987 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Yes39c311,000$121,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,900.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No60c279,567$166,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,127.269350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No61c277,218$169,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,198.895349.1%26 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked No61c184,720$111,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,920.368743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes41c112,156$46,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,351.342263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes40c88,192$35,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,518.478042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No59c86,516$51,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,221.718354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked Yes41c68,533$27,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,900250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes40c65,784$26,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,535.5316046.3%74 W · 86 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No60c49,682$29,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,872.694757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes41c43,933$17,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,904.2548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c43,839$12,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,793.822,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No59c37,775$22,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,361.763951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes5c36,622$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.083562.9%22 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No60c35,500$21,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,199.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes39c35,497$13,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,873.6940447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No60c25,992$15,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,327.0216045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes23c25,415$5,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,911.793036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1db…0742backed Yes0c19,316$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes39c16,302$6,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,38826040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7009952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed Yes41c15,000$6,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,150540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c14,968$5,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,892.8998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes24c13,809$3,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,251.5632843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes38c12,236$4,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,648.597938%30 W · 49 L-6.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked No60c12,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8003100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No60c12,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8005550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7a…29c8backed No59c12,000$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,919.98875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes40c11,250$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Yes38c11,121$4,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,215633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cf…d1e7backed Yes40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked No60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.991457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes40c9,900$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96045547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes44c8,637$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8004738.3%18 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x07f0…afc6backed Yes41c8,433$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No59c8,000$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,249.995653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes19c7,980$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No60c7,000$4,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,81020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes43c6,650$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.56442.2%27 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No63c6,349$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.24445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c6,133$4,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85796942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked No57c5,957$3,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes41c5,432$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,227.121435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c5,153$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.7668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes31c4,748$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4673357.6%19 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No60c4,652$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.84553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes38c4,622$1,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.243030%9 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes40c4,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8006142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes17c4,353$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.2720431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2733…ac38backed Yes34c4,272$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf264…9e0fbacked Yes17c3,946$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed No59c3,755$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No57c3,595$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.887560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes36c3,500$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.115042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef9…1450backed Yes41c3,370$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Yes38c3,282$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Yes40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2907332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,23014249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa3b…d6b7backed No59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2303125.8%8 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.22per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes10c2,969$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Yes36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002544%11 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes22c2,691$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.732147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No74c2,669$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.38169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes40c2,624$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.4610259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b73…7421backed Yes16c2,615$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.422951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No57c2,566$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.6612153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.993046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c2,466$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.9993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No60c2,332$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.672360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes38c2,317$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.461735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes25c2,240$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.894959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No67c2,239$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.875967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85e7…ffe7backed Yes15c2,201$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes38c2,105$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80033357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9963…32e4backed Yes39c2,083$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Yes39c2,052$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.442343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes14c1,989$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.54922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes35c1,952$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.363724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes38c1,948$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.252941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+27.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No57c1,878$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.534738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No59c1,873$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.0541854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes7c1,849$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.516819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No60c1,820$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.212049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked No62c1,800$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x627d…efe9backed Yes40c1,753$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes36c1,747$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.526850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.142860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes40c1,683$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.033534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x359d…d7ebbacked Yes37c1,568$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ef…e1dcbacked Yes41c1,555$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No60c1,514$903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.617255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes40c1,504$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.51714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes38c1,500$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57036630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No59c1,500$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6102250%11 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No60c1,500$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.9920143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes40c1,449$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.617651.7%91 W · 85 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.