CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefb62ca148962aa761efb6e5b750160c14406203d0f7cbb2c8a028c24622c5c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof los kogutos, kONO.ECF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked kONO.ECF | 21c | 2,180$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed los kogutos | 79c | 2,059$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.05 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed kONO.ECF | 52c | 1,030$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed kONO.ECF | 12c | 1,014$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed los kogutos | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed kONO.ECF | 20c | 915.22$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.52 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed kONO.ECF | 30c | 704.38$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed los kogutos | 80c | 658.11$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked kONO.ECF | 29c | 540.07$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed kONO.ECF | 12c | 498.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed kONO.ECF | 44c | 377$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed los kogutos | 57c | 349.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.83 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed kONO.ECF | 50c | 324.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked kONO.ECF | 8c | 312$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed kONO.ECF | 41c | 304$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed kONO.ECF | 23c | 297.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked los kogutos | 80c | 251$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed los kogutos | 80c | 237.45$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed kONO.ECF | 42c | 236.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed kONO.ECF | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed los kogutos | 76c | 192.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed kONO.ECF | 8c | 190.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec36…78bbbacked los kogutos | 76c | 163$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed los kogutos | 79c | 159.28$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked kONO.ECF | 44c | 155.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…b691backed los kogutos | 77c | 148.49$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…89cabacked kONO.ECF | 39c | 137.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed los kogutos | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed kONO.ECF | 23c | 117.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed los kogutos | 80c | 107.36$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7731…fbadbacked los kogutos | 78c | 104.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed kONO.ECF | 14c | 104.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed los kogutos | 67c | 96.78$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed kONO.ECF | 20c | 88.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed los kogutos | 69c | 81$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked los kogutos | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed kONO.ECF | 21c | 74.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked los kogutos | 69c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked los kogutos | 56c | 62.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…44a7backed kONO.ECF | 18c | 62.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed kONO.ECF | 44c | 60.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…89b0backed los kogutos | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed los kogutos | 76c | 57.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed los kogutos | 60c | 56.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed los kogutos | 73c | 56.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked los kogutos | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked kONO.ECF | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba7…6c85backed los kogutos | 63c | 49.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed los kogutos | 58c | 46.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked los kogutos | 64c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked kONO.ECF | 28c | 37.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed kONO.ECF | 30c | 35.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed kONO.ECF | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked los kogutos | 54c | 31.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed los kogutos | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked los kogutos | 58c | 29.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed los kogutos | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked los kogutos | 56c | 23.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…2ba1backed los kogutos | 68c | 22.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d6…5cdfbacked los kogutos | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…eae3backed los kogutos | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed los kogutos | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed los kogutos | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe290…7fb0backed los kogutos | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked los kogutos | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.