Premier League · resolved market
Will Crawley Town FC win on 2026-08-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bea9ffdf7c1b134da6b72459c598ff1af0258db6a57b429b5ad9f8c058ee83e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 1,855$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.48 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 58c | 1,618$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.74 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 1,560$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 51c | 1,105$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.38 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 33c | 617.55$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…2b82backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 525.32$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.61 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 52c | 359.42$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.52 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 351.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.74 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0597backed Yes | 72c | 270.97$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 48c | 242$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.57 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…4daabacked Yes | 20c | 240.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 7c | 237$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 64c | 153.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b34…a646backed Yes | 59c | 145.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed No | 32c | 134.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked No | 36c | 132.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 53c | 123.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked No | 73c | 116.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Yes | 71c | 108.46$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e4…0720backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…3b57backed Yes | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed No | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 44c | 87.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 68c | 86.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Yes | 29c | 74.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…eae3backed Yes | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 45c | 65.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes | 39c | 61.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 45c | 59.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.93 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 45c | 47.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 50c | 47.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 49c | 44.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 55c | 41.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 52c | 36.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…6998backed Yes | 60c | 33.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 67c | 26.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 59c | 21.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 62c | 20.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 20.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…7537backed No | 80c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crawley Town FC win on 2026-08-03?this page
- Will York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC end in a draw?No won
- Will York City FC win on 2026-08-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.