Premier League · resolved market
Will York City FC win on 2026-08-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa815e37a02b6fa2fd32aa7152f2b5e04daaed319b4ecb5738d86d33918a203bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,523$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.91 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed No | 45c | 666$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed No | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 469.54$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff7…7c28backed Yes | 60c | 334.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 40c | 259.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.72 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 177.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…edd5backed Yes | 59c | 170.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 50c | 161.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 156.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.37 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 144.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Yes | 11c | 101.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…ba20backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 10c | 96.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Yes | 16c | 89.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 83.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 61c | 83.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 59c | 58.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 20c | 56.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 31c | 55.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked No | 47c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Yes | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 41c | 30.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed No | 77c | 30.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…e62abacked Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 59c | 24.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…1597backed Yes | 59c | 19.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 79c | 15.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will York City FC win on 2026-08-03?this page
- Will Crawley Town FC win on 2026-08-03?Yes won
- Will York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.