TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8ab2…4daa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$154.45
Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Gijs Brouwerbacked Koki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.22
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$255.41
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.63
Set 2 Winner: Lehecka vs Blockxbacked Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.85
National Bank Open: Tereza Valentova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$214.76
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
National Bank Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Bianca Andreescubacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudeebacked Emerson Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
National Bank Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondarbacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+403.2%+$1,503.84
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Fares Zakaria vs Daniil Glinkabacked Fares Zakaria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Warsaw: Amelia Paszun vs Weronika Falkowskabacked Amelia Paszun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Julia Avdeeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.63
Samsun: Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine vs Gabriel Debrubacked Gabriel Debru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$85.14
All 17 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. New York Libertybacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.21
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+400%+$144.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crawley Town FC win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+400%+$192.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.