South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95321422bba646fa023ac2a16dbbeb74f06b3ed55eacb03e3c43b7564f2ed435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 71c | 8,000$5,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 21c | 7,038$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.31 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 5,656$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.28 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,663$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.54 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Yes | 27c | 2,218$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 1,947$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.09 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,934$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.2 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 10c | 859.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…4daabacked Yes | 19c | 796.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 72c | 699.3$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.8 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed No | 72c | 653$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.84 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Yes | 31c | 532.88$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 430.76$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.44 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…dd03backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3840…93ffbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed No | 77c | 301.55$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 13c | 257.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 13c | 255.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 253$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Yes | 29c | 241$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 18c | 192.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 71c | 157.17$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 77c | 153.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…fc66backed No | 77c | 151$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 77cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 23c | 146$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 112.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 72c | 109.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 26c | 100.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 72c | 94.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…6561backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 22cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 70c | 87.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 30c | 84.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 14c | 79.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Yes | 23c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 72c | 68.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 29c | 68.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed No | 73c | 61.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 72c | 60.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 19c | 55.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ef2fbacked No | 77c | 51.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 29c | 50.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 71c | 50.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 27c | 49.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 48.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Yes | 26c | 46.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed No | 78c | 44.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 73c | 44.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked No | 76c | 43.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…a9c6backed Yes | 29c | 43.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 72c | 34.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 71c | 34.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 34.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 73c | 31.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 73c | 29.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 75c | 27.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked No | 71c | 27.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd948…f231backed No | 73c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…2919backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 74c | 15.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 75c | 15.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 14.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-06?this page
- Will CA Unión vs. CA Lanús end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.