TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Unión win on 2026-08-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,091
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,084

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,091 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x162c…6c47backed No61c23,818$14,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,529.18763.2%55 W · 32 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed No60c10,935$6,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,511.342254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes39c8,798$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,332.0134747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c7,503$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.618,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No53c7,107$3,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,759.952,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes41c6,855$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,068.6949136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Yes39c6,513$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,973.24047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes42c3,973$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,286.322,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No50c3,582$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.4275240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes39c3,325$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0251,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c2,970$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.175,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes41c2,561$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.3466837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed No56c1,915$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.958657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1230…dd03backed Yes36c1,678$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.31728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes37c1,321$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.154456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No60c1,250$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7502,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes46c1,039$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.7830847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes40c995.26$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.121,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes62c987.19$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.195957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed No64c781.25$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2327549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes41c762$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.5838233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes40c754.43$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.431,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No34c749.58$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.111,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes35c677.25$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.9689645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes39c641.02$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.0227349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes38c638.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.188551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Yes37c628.91$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes40c627$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.223733.8%80 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes39c600.01$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.0117049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.321369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes36c514.27$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.213,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed No64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes56c463.22$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9946449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes40c462.96$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.0955250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No60c416$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.61,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No59c385.59$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.81,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No31c361.83$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6342946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes55c359.32$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1395155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No4c358.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3120036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes55c349.02$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2360156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No22c331.96$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.221,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No20c329.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.610651.9%55 W · 51 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No60c325$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1959651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Yes38c325$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.56550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No65c317.56$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.791,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes70c301$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3211350.4%57 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes49c286.15$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3950656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Yes36c274.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.025841.4%24 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes35c271.46$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7219040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes38c267.88$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.411,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Yes45c254.44$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.943180.6%25 W · 6 L+10.8wins+0.35per pick46cpaid+78.7%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xa8f1…fee6backed No54c247.64$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.851533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes55c218.41$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes58c188.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes65c172.1$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.093,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Yes36c155.12$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2811328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9114943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ac…7ad0backed No31c149.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.21450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Yes60c145.95$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6612662.7%79 W · 47 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No63c141.39$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.711,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cda…1397backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256642.4%28 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e7…43c0backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed No27c114$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.576540%26 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276a…fc66backed Yes78c108.5$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.871770.6%12 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick77cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8558…8615backed Yes32c106.66$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.731266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+47.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Yes57c102.18$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.321580%12 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No60c102.1$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2655946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2412737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Yes37c99.96$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.971957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No46c98.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.028347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes54c97.44$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1572058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes43c96.31$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7589846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512535.2%44 W · 81 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes35c86.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.318937.1%33 W · 56 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No59c84.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9725955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x843c…529ebacked Yes40c83.75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.251258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcaf5…41abbacked No31c82.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-68.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes58c80.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0110458.7%61 W · 43 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes39c80$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.23630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes44c74.89$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8311155%61 W · 50 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No29c68.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4823044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked No67c66.92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457463.5%47 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1586…b94abacked Yes78c65.38$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.384100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Yes79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.292572%18 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3820…ffc3backed Yes37c61$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.431936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No31c60.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.711640.5%47 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424c…8580backed No29c59.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Yes35c56.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+131.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes39c55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked No68c51.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356665.2%43 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed Yes31c49.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.493855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed Yes42c49.91$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db5…ef2fbacked No36c48.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fae…8f07backed No70c45.74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380a…2460backed Yes32c43.5$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed No62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.625345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Yes33c39.29$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.147542.7%32 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf52…2982backed Yes38c39.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked No43c37.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.921553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.