TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1db5…ef2f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4065%26 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machacbacked Mees Rottgering · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$23.89
US Open, Qualification ATP: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$21.89
Winston-Salem Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.36
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$15.22
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
US Open, Qualification ATP: Raul Brancaccio vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.92
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Jessica Pieri vs Federica Saccobacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$24.09
Sion: Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Juan Estevezbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$3.61
Prague 2: Maxim Mrva vs Nerman Faticbacked Maxim Mrva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$6.63
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Margot Phanthala vs Sunam Jeongbacked Margot Phanthala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Hanlei Lu vs Vladimir Osminkinbacked Hanlei Lu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$374.91
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Xing Dao Chen vs Zhiheng Xiabacked Xing Dao Chen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.75
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$5.06
ITF W35 Verbier Women: Anna Lena Ebster vs Ines Delaloyebacked Ines Delaloye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+41%+$5
ITF M25 Idanha-a-Nova 2 Men: Artem Alekseychuk vs Tiago Boschmansbacked Tiago Boschmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$333.12
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
Cincinnati Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$4.97
Cincinnati Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.39
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Casper Ruudbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$12.53
Sion: Dimitris Sakellaridis vs Gian Luca Tannerbacked Dimitris Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$68.94
Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencicbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$12.26
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$11.56
Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+171.2%+$140.01
Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakisbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.28
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Weatherlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$12.47
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.53
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+72%+$12.02
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.49
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$7.81
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$17
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$9.2
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$12.15
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$6.34
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$17.09
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$22.07
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$19.59
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.75
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$10.24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+111.2%+$25.45
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.34
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.55
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+115%+$34.86
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+183.7%+$64.3
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$20.76
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.29
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+133.2%+$62.61
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.09
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.83
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.57
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$25.25
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
All 13 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+118.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.11
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.99
UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kauê Fernandes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.86
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chidi Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$30.04
UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Donte Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.65
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Neil Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$48.22
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jeremiah Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$83.06
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$7.88
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Watford FC (-1.5)backed Watford FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+123.3%+$58.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.