Lol · resolved market
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d297d43ff2fd15f52750ef53434986051bd9d2a9bed53d8b13cf5e883a830cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof SK Gaming, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $360,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $417,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 18,636$13,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569.67 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SK Gaming | 19c | 18,265$3,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,381.44 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa759…1119backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 10,012$6,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,543.91 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed SK Gaming | 11c | 9,792$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.33 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 8,736$6,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.71 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb496…1f45backed SK Gaming | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 7,962$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.21 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 7,064$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.99 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Natus Vincere | 63c | 7,000$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 6,792$4,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.46 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…4d41backed SK Gaming | 10c | 6,391$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.78 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 6,220$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.66 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed SK Gaming | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…38d6backed SK Gaming | 1c | 5,555$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 207 | 2.9%6 W · 201 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed SK Gaming | 19c | 5,035$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.52 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…895dbacked SK Gaming | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 218 | 59.6%130 W · 88 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed SK Gaming | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.99 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed SK Gaming | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed SK Gaming | 36c | 4,500$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa043…b419backed SK Gaming | 15c | 4,489$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.46 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked SK Gaming | 37c | 3,967$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.63 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…1ef4backed SK Gaming | 7c | 3,571$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | +15.4wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed SK Gaming | 36c | 3,559$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.25 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed SK Gaming | 37c | 3,400$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.61 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed SK Gaming | 36c | 3,349$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.64 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed SK Gaming | 36c | 3,284$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.45 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 3,279$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.4 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked SK Gaming | 34c | 3,265$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 220 | 48.2%106 W · 114 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked SK Gaming | 18c | 3,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked SK Gaming | 11c | 3,036$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.44 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…fa13backed SK Gaming | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.97 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 2,593$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.49 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SK Gaming | 11c | 2,579$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.71 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…69b5backed SK Gaming | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked SK Gaming | 33c | 2,493$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.59 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed SK Gaming | 26c | 2,400$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 284 | 48.6%138 W · 146 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SK Gaming | 19c | 2,369$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.98 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed SK Gaming | 10c | 2,338$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.8 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed SK Gaming | 40c | 2,270$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.99 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked SK Gaming | 36c | 2,257$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.85 | 668 | 45.5%304 W · 364 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed SK Gaming | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,991$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.74 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked SK Gaming | 33c | 1,971$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.05 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed SK Gaming | 22c | 1,900$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.35 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked SK Gaming | 35c | 1,700$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,661$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.9 | 391 | 62.7%245 W · 146 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…1706backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,636$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.62 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked SK Gaming | 12c | 1,625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 1,622$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.22 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked SK Gaming | 15c | 1,589$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.64 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed SK Gaming | 28c | 1,573$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.11 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed SK Gaming | 40c | 1,540$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…6d97backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,493$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.12 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed SK Gaming | 36c | 1,444$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.84 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SK Gaming | 10c | 1,428$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.37 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed SK Gaming | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,384$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.1 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 1,359$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.62 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,331$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.16 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed SK Gaming | 8c | 1,300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed SK Gaming | 2c | 1,300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 313 | 27.8%87 W · 226 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,288$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.68 | 292 | 36%105 W · 187 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,256$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.92 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,174$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.98 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SK Gaming | 22c | 1,156$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.48 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…2ec4backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 1,144$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.47 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SK Gaming | 4c | 1,123$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SK Gaming | 18c | 1,094$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…50f6backed SK Gaming | 2c | 1,083$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked SK Gaming | 19c | 1,010$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.55 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked SK Gaming | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50fa…907fbacked SK Gaming | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SK Gaming | 9c | 906.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 901.84$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.51 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…cc81backed SK Gaming | 14c | 899.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 213 | 52.6%112 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked SK Gaming | 40c | 891.8$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.72 | 286 | 42.7%122 W · 164 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked SK Gaming | 15c | 839$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed SK Gaming | 16c | 800$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…e82abacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 784.31$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.88 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed SK Gaming | 39c | 742.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.77 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe100…34e1backed SK Gaming | 18c | 722.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked SK Gaming | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf71e…917bbacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 700$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 267 | 65.9%176 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…69e5backed SK Gaming | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 146 | 23.3%34 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 674$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.84 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked SK Gaming | 20c | 652$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6455…2604backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 630$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 625.91$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.81 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 345 | 68.7%237 W · 108 L | +24.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked SK Gaming | 18c | 588$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6c…33f0backed SK Gaming | 18c | 565.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed SK Gaming | 18c | 555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 384 | 39.8%153 W · 231 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811a…9a3cbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked SK Gaming | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked SK Gaming | 5c | 522.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 520$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.4 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Natus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)SK Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerSK Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.