Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a9ae4e4eb2b7199d23862c69e6c1542f8b60a45bfd405f927c6049f3f25eee9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Gamingof Natus Vincere, SK Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SK Gaming | 72c | 24,141$17,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,857.17 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…22d9backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 8,809$3,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,554.34 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 4,401$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,100$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.98 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 2,800$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.23 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,563$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.52 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed SK Gaming | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,777$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.34 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed SK Gaming | 59c | 1,493$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.12 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…1e02backed SK Gaming | 63c | 1,374$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 849.28$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.76 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed SK Gaming | 62c | 820.27$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.67 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 780.76$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 633.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.16 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 632$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.16 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a30bbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 156 | 24.4%38 W · 118 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 587.47$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.24 | 509 | 56.2%286 W · 223 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe833…aa04backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 550$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 520$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 510.79$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.89 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 444.74$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…54cbbacked SK Gaming | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed SK Gaming | 54c | 357.18$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.95 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed SK Gaming | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 257$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 234.42$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 210.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 350 | 45.1%158 W · 192 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…bebdbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 189.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 53.5%232 W · 202 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed SK Gaming | 63c | 158.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 148.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 138.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 364 | 60.2%219 W · 145 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed SK Gaming | 58c | 125.11$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed SK Gaming | 63c | 100.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 99.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 98.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed SK Gaming | 63c | 97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 462 | 48.9%226 W · 236 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 96.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…ca8bbacked SK Gaming | 64c | 94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked SK Gaming | 45c | 88.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 296 | 37.8%112 W · 184 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SK Gaming | 54c | 88.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 82.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked SK Gaming | 47c | 80.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed SK Gaming | 64c | 80.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 79.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed SK Gaming | 76c | 47.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 283 | 29.7%84 W · 199 L | -32.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed SK Gaming | 63c | 43.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 217 | 51.2%111 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…a007backed SK Gaming | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb908…6175backed SK Gaming | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 34.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 332 | 63.6%211 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed SK Gaming | 66c | 21.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288d…00eabacked SK Gaming | 64c | 20.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerSK Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.