TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof SK Gaming, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,127,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,282,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,127,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 744 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Natus Vincere64c66,566$42,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,719.481,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed SK Gaming34c55,450$18,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,683.831,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4526…18d0backed SK Gaming0c35,014$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.851070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SK Gaming31c33,345$10,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,337.11,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c7…f0a7backed Natus Vincere65c30,223$19,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,694.7713161.8%81 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3954…22d9backed Natus Vincere64c29,660$18,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,677.662263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb94e…fdefbacked SK Gaming0c22,955$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere60c20,800$12,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,268.532,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed SK Gaming36c19,182$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00018629.6%55 W · 131 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed SK Gaming14c18,141$2,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,525.861,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed SK Gaming53c15,552$8,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,169.181,63540.2%657 W · 978 L+48.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16e…bd58backed Natus Vincere75c15,223$11,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.5316542.4%70 W · 95 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked Natus Vincere57c13,365$7,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,775.5410541.9%44 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98d5…2ec4backed Natus Vincere68c12,832$8,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,118.956851.5%35 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e85…52fbbacked SK Gaming40c11,816$4,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,726.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Natus Vincere69c11,748$8,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,605.4554555.2%301 W · 244 L+24.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked SK Gaming34c10,644$3,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,624.425953.7%139 W · 120 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked SK Gaming36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60014842.6%63 W · 85 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed SK Gaming38c10,000$3,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,849.9930845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd967…1409backed Natus Vincere66c9,969$6,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,387.6312260.7%74 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x141a…d05abacked Natus Vincere63c8,500$5,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.222667.3%152 W · 74 L+27.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Natus Vincere74c8,447$6,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.8369259.7%413 W · 279 L+75.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed SK Gaming36c7,961$2,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.8743542.5%185 W · 250 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed SK Gaming22c7,887$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.3170641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Natus Vincere64c7,426$4,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,673.2447455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed SK Gaming39c7,410$2,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,891.81,15849.2%570 W · 588 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa759…1119backed SK Gaming58c7,148$4,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,120.7211367.3%76 W · 37 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked Natus Vincere59c7,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90022059.5%131 W · 89 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed SK Gaming26c7,000$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.9932534.8%113 W · 212 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Natus Vincere67c6,691$4,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,230.421,85239.8%738 W · 1,114 L-64.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked SK Gaming24c6,485$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,57517839.3%70 W · 108 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked SK Gaming35c6,305$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.591,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed SK Gaming34c6,133$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.791,06723.5%251 W · 816 L-76.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed SK Gaming42c6,121$2,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.2485942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Natus Vincere75c6,000$4,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.841,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed SK Gaming37c5,500$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0501,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Natus Vincere65c5,163$3,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.3519342%81 W · 112 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere77c5,028$3,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.9948449.8%241 W · 243 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked SK Gaming28c5,003$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40022148%106 W · 115 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed SK Gaming23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.991,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Natus Vincere54c5,000$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.341,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked SK Gaming32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9930421.7%66 W · 238 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe2…f964backed SK Gaming42c4,879$2,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,059.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed SK Gaming36c4,662$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70029748.1%143 W · 154 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Natus Vincere64c4,637$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,682.611,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3a…5ad0backed SK Gaming28c4,575$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.864841.7%20 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed SK Gaming30c4,509$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.951,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Natus Vincere75c4,466$3,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.215554.5%30 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed SK Gaming36c4,302$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.9147933.2%159 W · 320 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x369f…1706backed SK Gaming59c4,245$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.845046%23 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed08…e082backed Natus Vincere72c4,188$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.9819860.1%119 W · 79 L-0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked SK Gaming22c4,054$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.1719336.3%70 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Natus Vincere60c4,016$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.799756.6%564 W · 433 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed Natus Vincere77c4,000$3,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.0990443.6%394 W · 510 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40092254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc5…c07dbacked Natus Vincere65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.395660.7%34 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked SK Gaming36c4,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9850040.8%204 W · 296 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Natus Vincere67c3,900$2,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.366031.7%19 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-35.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x41d1…bac0backed SK Gaming52c3,856$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Natus Vincere57c3,653$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.2710030%30 W · 70 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed SK Gaming38c3,480$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.591,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c01…e7d0backed Natus Vincere58c3,464$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.769444.7%42 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Natus Vincere75c3,334$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.81,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe37e…6d97backed Natus Vincere62c3,189$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.728860.2%53 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed SK Gaming40c3,183$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.241,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked SK Gaming27c3,078$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.491,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Natus Vincere69c3,035$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.7128544.9%128 W · 157 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked SK Gaming40c3,029$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.8620346.3%94 W · 109 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked SK Gaming34c3,010$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.624852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed SK Gaming35c3,010$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.0146451.7%240 W · 224 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed SK Gaming26c3,000$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.982,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed SK Gaming30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90015253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Natus Vincere64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08017642%74 W · 102 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed SK Gaming50c2,999$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010939.4%43 W · 66 L-13.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xae69…6e71backed SK Gaming18c2,890$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.3111521.7%25 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed SK Gaming38c2,864$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.911,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked SK Gaming37c2,834$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.2387443.1%377 W · 497 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b1…b851backed SK Gaming30c2,828$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.512725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked SK Gaming30c2,774$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.632,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed SK Gaming29c2,701$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.782,24037.3%836 W · 1,404 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed SK Gaming36c2,627$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.6225946.7%121 W · 138 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81cd…9c75backed Natus Vincere59c2,606$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.481957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked SK Gaming27c2,584$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.9966845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed SK Gaming60c2,498$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50058457.7%337 W · 247 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SK Gaming26c2,451$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.872,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b6…f6ffbacked SK Gaming41c2,443$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.641752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Natus Vincere71c2,400$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70828448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Natus Vincere76c2,323$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.9570462.1%437 W · 267 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed SK Gaming40c2,112$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.424253.7%130 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed SK Gaming36c2,096$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.743,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a93…8e36backed Natus Vincere73c2,045$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.9710365%67 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Natus Vincere76c2,017$1,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.8462158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere69c2,012$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.4466942.9%287 W · 382 L-30.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed SK Gaming33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.991,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed SK Gaming36c1,999$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.5910541.9%44 W · 61 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked SK Gaming55c1,950$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.491,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Natus Vincere73c1,857$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.11,08546.2%501 W · 584 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe100…34e1backed SK Gaming28c1,837$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.366238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SK Gaming38c1,812$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.8697744.8%438 W · 539 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked SK Gaming30c1,796$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.532,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.