Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d6052419573152a2b66d1a47f3c677af9d36dfecc3baa914f0e369390f48403
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 53c | 2,576$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.58 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 28c | 1,754$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.72 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 45c | 1,610$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.97 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 72c | 1,431$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.39 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Yes | 53c | 1,395$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 10c | 1,323$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.14 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 1,160$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.93 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 921.91$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.89 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 688.5$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.82 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 56.1%124 W · 97 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 31c | 99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 37c | 87.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.15 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed No | 31c | 82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 63c | 79.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 31c | 73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…211ebacked Yes | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 72c | 61.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 77c | 37.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 726 | 58.7%426 W · 300 L | +48.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 63c | 36.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 71c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe331…0163backed No | 72c | 33.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…ec66backed Yes | 64c | 31.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 38c | 31.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…6477backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ef2fbacked Yes | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 58c | 26.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 63c | 24.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 63c | 22.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x881d…8c18backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 69c | 20.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yes | 61c | 20.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab35…118dbacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd0…4200backed Yes | 68c | 17.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Notts County FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Notts County FC win on 2026-08-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.