TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-20?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,925

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,539 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eb0…6a68backed No37c57,203$20,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,982.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes64c17,000$10,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,187.91560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes68c15,529$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,928.82,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes65c15,152$9,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,268.932,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes63c8,443$5,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.8297346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No35c5,747$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.9317446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes63c4,005$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.2427039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No37c3,853$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.611540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No5c2,872$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.12,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked No1c2,522$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5814931.5%47 W · 102 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No11c2,474$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.513,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No36c1,909$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.411657.8%67 W · 49 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7525…fd3cbacked No38c1,681$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.76944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No33c1,612$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.162,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed No35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes63c1,433$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.6238144.1%168 W · 213 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes63c1,258$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.8291950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes64c1,171$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.5643344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Yes65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3502751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes75c816.77$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.6274155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No36c625.6$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.225058%29 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes63c537.99$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.2155545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Yes63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-55.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae6a…de5ebacked Yes62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.871752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Yes62c458.89$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.381735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be9…ef2bbacked Yes63c388.89$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.891625%4 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-57.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76a6…1affbacked Yes63c385.83$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes72c339.65$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.818636%31 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No32c337.74$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5381440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes67c334.64$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.711,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2a…39bdbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes63c305.65$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.094573.3%33 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed No36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked No36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No17c279.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.521118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-76.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes64c273.44$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.442152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes64c227.17$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6256849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No36c222.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8014443.8%63 W · 81 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No37c222$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.131,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.128750.6%44 W · 43 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No37c206.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7377855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked No37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes64c196.97$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.8769448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Yes63c195.79$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.447146.5%33 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No37c194.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.471,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No40c182.64$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7331430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x677d…4907backed Yes64c174.13$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.691764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No36c166.66$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014744.9%66 W · 81 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.735959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa498…245ebacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.739257.6%53 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Yes61c155.56$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.67850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb66a…b156backed No19c143$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.171513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-81.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc5f4…d4b0backed Yes62c130$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No38c122$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.831,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No36c104$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6888048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes72c102.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7576941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x242f…6fa9backed No21c96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes65c91.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes65c91.42$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0965535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes64c87$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6131849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No37c84.23$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7423951.5%123 W · 116 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes61c83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.372360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes61c81.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.965158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Yes63c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.63828.9%11 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3717153.8%92 W · 79 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Yes63c79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.233951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes63c78.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Yes64c78.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.125257.7%30 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeca…a1b7backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.923050%15 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes64c76$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.287269.4%50 W · 22 L+10.2wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed Yes62c72.56$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes63c71.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.433658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed No37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255525.5%14 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Yes64c67.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.456854.4%37 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df3…257abacked No37c65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked No36c64.7$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.427356.2%41 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes63c63.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3644156%247 W · 194 L+22.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No36c55.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207245.8%33 W · 39 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.69650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db5…ef2fbacked No38c53.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2940%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9317059.4%101 W · 69 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Yes66c48.82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.588446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes58c48.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4779354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ab2…4a42backed Yes63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Yes65c47.28$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.55580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0a…e482backed Yes66c44.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.213348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Yes62c43.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.58955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Yes64c41.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.913158.1%18 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick70cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8258…d217backed Yes64c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed No36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.43145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No36c39.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1466150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes64c38.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.964866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.