Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41904eafc71001c09b9607c71fc3aaf7cba67d6f11f92afa94519b377f4c7147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rafael Jodarof Rafael Jodar, Denis Shapovalov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $933,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $991,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $933,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 454 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 34c | 88,627$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Rafael Jodar | 60c | 76,097$45,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,420.7 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Rafael Jodar | 44c | 32,402$14,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,214.16 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rafael Jodar | 48c | 31,557$15,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,279.31 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Denis Shapovalov | 33c | 28,333$9,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,378.02 | 756 | 40.1%303 W · 453 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Denis Shapovalov | 71c | 27,457$19,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,551.01 | 440 | 32.7%144 W · 296 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rafael Jodar | 33c | 25,447$8,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,170.43 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 24,898$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.87 | 634 | 40.9%259 W · 375 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Denis Shapovalov | 76c | 15,675$11,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,961.24 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Rafael Jodar | 69c | 15,062$10,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,743.95 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Denis Shapovalov | 30c | 13,568$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.06 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 11,254$6,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,214.69 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Rafael Jodar | 72c | 10,971$7,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.9 | 365 | 44.9%164 W · 201 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Denis Shapovalov | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Rafael Jodar | 70c | 8,500$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Rafael Jodar | 41c | 8,396$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,927.23 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Rafael Jodar | 63c | 8,202$5,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,067.14 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Rafael Jodar | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.96 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Denis Shapovalov | 67c | 6,547$4,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,386.31 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Denis Shapovalov | 52c | 6,041$3,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.7 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Denis Shapovalov | 71c | 5,938$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,215.8 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Denis Shapovalov | 72c | 5,582$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 256 | 61.3%157 W · 99 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Denis Shapovalov | 45c | 5,388$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.62 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Rafael Jodar | 68c | 5,353$3,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.7 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Rafael Jodar | 51c | 5,036$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.9 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Denis Shapovalov | 36c | 5,006$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.05 | 308 | 40.6%125 W · 183 L | -23.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Rafael Jodar | 62c | 5,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 707 | 52.8%373 W · 334 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Rafael Jodar | 62c | 4,567$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.39 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…dbebbacked Rafael Jodar | 70c | 4,530$3,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…abe5backed Rafael Jodar | 52c | 4,278$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.6 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Denis Shapovalov | 67c | 4,168$2,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,811.73 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Denis Shapovalov | 48c | 4,128$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.34 | 234 | 62.8%147 W · 87 L | +16.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Denis Shapovalov | 65c | 3,619$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.84 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…7451backed Rafael Jodar | 68c | 3,500$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.98 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Rafael Jodar | 69c | 3,333$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.23 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Rafael Jodar | 26c | 3,286$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.69 | 465 | 44.3%206 W · 259 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…cf12backed Denis Shapovalov | 77c | 3,273$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rafael Jodar | 41c | 3,186$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.55 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Rafael Jodar | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…d1a9backed Denis Shapovalov | 0c | 3,042$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Rafael Jodar | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 394 | 43.1%170 W · 224 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Denis Shapovalov | 79c | 2,997$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,367.62 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Denis Shapovalov | 6c | 2,860$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.39 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Rafael Jodar | 35c | 2,842$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.13 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Rafael Jodar | 48c | 2,700$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.51 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Denis Shapovalov | 30c | 2,674$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.2 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Rafael Jodar | 54c | 2,660$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.01 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Rafael Jodar | 51c | 2,627$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.32 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rafael Jodar | 11c | 2,597$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.94 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 61c | 2,423$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.01 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Denis Shapovalov | 58c | 2,419$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.51 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Denis Shapovalov | 78c | 2,360$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.3 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd403…a817backed Denis Shapovalov | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 0%0 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…2ee8backed Denis Shapovalov | 25c | 1,905$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.83 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rafael Jodar | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.21 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Denis Shapovalov | 30c | 1,820$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 368 | 38.3%141 W · 227 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Denis Shapovalov | 45c | 1,773$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.1 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Denis Shapovalov | 30c | 1,727$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.42 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Denis Shapovalov | 53c | 1,687$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.64 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Denis Shapovalov | 30c | 1,590$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.89 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Rafael Jodar | 62c | 1,567$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.61 | 546 | 41.6%227 W · 319 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Rafael Jodar | 31c | 1,565$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.71 | 468 | 55.1%258 W · 210 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…3facbacked Rafael Jodar | 70c | 1,515$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.52 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Denis Shapovalov | 37c | 1,486$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.86 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Rafael Jodar | 69c | 1,419$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443 | 735 | 58.6%431 W · 304 L | -26.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Rafael Jodar | 52c | 1,373$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.09 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Denis Shapovalov | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 310 | 56.1%174 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Denis Shapovalov | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 29c | 1,315$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.25 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Denis Shapovalov | 29c | 1,293$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad39…7cf5backed Rafael Jodar | 10c | 1,220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.75 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rafael Jodar | 14c | 1,200$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.44 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Denis Shapovalov | 52c | 1,149$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.54 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Denis Shapovalov | 79c | 1,136$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.55 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Denis Shapovalov | 26c | 1,100$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.12 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rafael Jodar | 48c | 1,044$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.43 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…e738backed Denis Shapovalov | 20c | 1,043$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.66 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Rafael Jodar | 63c | 1,034$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.62 | 442 | 63.6%281 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Denis Shapovalov | 30c | 1,010$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 526 | 44.3%233 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Denis Shapovalov | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.91 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Rafael Jodar | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Denis Shapovalov | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Rafael Jodar | 80c | 937$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Rafael Jodar | 64c | 921.47$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.31 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed Rafael Jodar | 55c | 907.97$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.97 | 601 | 58.6%352 W · 249 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd772…1d8fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 32c | 836.75$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Denis Shapovalov | 69c | 835.21$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.29 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…6266backed Rafael Jodar | 59c | 819.91$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Rafael Jodar | 63c | 811.42$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.62 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…2a99backed Rafael Jodar | 62c | 806.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Rafael Jodar | 39c | 788.55$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.44 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Denis Shapovalov | 52c | 763.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Rafael Jodar | 61c | 741.72$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.72 | 255 | 58%148 W · 107 L | +20.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Rafael Jodar | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 392 | 56.6%222 W · 170 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Rafael Jodar | 55c | 705.73$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.25 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Denis Shapovalov | 69c | 682.06$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.98 | 597 | 21.8%130 W · 467 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87b5…0fcebacked Rafael Jodar | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…4968backed Denis Shapovalov | 30c | 650$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Denis Shapovalov | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Denis Shapovalov | 38c | 612$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalovthis page
- Rafael Jodar vs. Denis Shapovalov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Jodar vs ShapovalovJodar won
- Set Handicap: Jodar (-1.5) vs Shapovalov (+1.5)Shapovalov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.