UFC · resolved market
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x268e64674742a086ed32225039060c5683dc06417689c90d0c04a9614d1073c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jeremiah Wellsof Jeremiah Wells, Myktybek Orolbai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $592,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $612,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Jeremiah Wells | 12c | 209,111$24,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184,199.68 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 39,703$4,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,336.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 27,281$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,528.06 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…d07cbacked Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 18,967$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,075.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +401.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 18,588$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,729.16 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Jeremiah Wells | 12c | 12,715$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,191.56 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5411…ff7dbacked Myktybek Orolbai | 3c | 10,216$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 9,945$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,950.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…5b6dbacked Jeremiah Wells | 15c | 9,627$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,182.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 26cpaid | +372.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 8,830$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,947 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 8,276$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,365.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Jeremiah Wells | 13c | 7,506$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,505.62 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 7,089$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,375.06 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Jeremiah Wells | 9c | 6,801$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,188.65 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…eaefbacked Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,045.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 4,361$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.04 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Jeremiah Wells | 17c | 4,004$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.67 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 3,360$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.44 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Jeremiah Wells | 9c | 3,072$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.22 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 2,580$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +219.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Jeremiah Wells | 14c | 2,180$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.23 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Jeremiah Wells | 14c | 2,146$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.3 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0d…f8bebacked Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659d…a037backed Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 1,958$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.87 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Jeremiah Wells | 14c | 1,800$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.98 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Jeremiah Wells | 9c | 1,776$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.88 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Jeremiah Wells | 17c | 1,762$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.65 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…e8f9backed Jeremiah Wells | 13c | 1,462$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.14 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 1,370$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 1,286$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.68 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…692ebacked Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Jeremiah Wells | 56c | 1,197$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Jeremiah Wells | 21c | 1,156$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Jeremiah Wells | 71c | 1,155$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.96 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Jeremiah Wells | 13c | 1,111$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.34 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Jeremiah Wells | 12c | 1,091$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43b9…5db9backed Jeremiah Wells | 13c | 1,061$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +277.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 1,000$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…e1c1backed Myktybek Orolbai | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Jeremiah Wells | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Jeremiah Wells | 12c | 947.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.73 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jeremiah Wells | 15c | 926.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.79 | 360 | 48.3%174 W · 186 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Jeremiah Wells | 15c | 919.53$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.44 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…16a8backed Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 788.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.01 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 758.77$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.83 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…59b7backed Jeremiah Wells | 7c | 715.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 707.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.98 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…2527backed Jeremiah Wells | 13c | 677.71$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.02 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.36 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…cfd7backed Jeremiah Wells | 13c | 631.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 17cpaid | +355.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Jeremiah Wells | 13c | 600$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Jeremiah Wells | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.56 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…3bb9backed Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 550$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Jeremiah Wells | 17c | 548.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.06 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1af…8029backed Jeremiah Wells | 12c | 538.58$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Myktybek Orolbai | 78c | 524.17$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.15 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Myktybek Orolbai | 41c | 500$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 242 | 61.6%149 W · 93 L | +17.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Jeremiah Wells | 5c | 475$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.45 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…1219backed Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 436.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Jeremiah Wells | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Jeremiah Wells | 9c | 410.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.4 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 370$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…5b51backed Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.64 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Myktybek Orolbai | 79c | 341.62$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.45 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 300.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.17 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Myktybek Orolbai | 5c | 296.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe650…0944backed Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 279.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.95 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Jeremiah Wells | 12c | 276$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Jeremiah Wells | 9c | 264.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.54 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Jeremiah Wells | 7c | 257.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.14 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Jeremiah Wells | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 240.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.75 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…c5b0backed Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 221$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x254d…af5dbacked Jeremiah Wells | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…bf2ebacked Jeremiah Wells | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Myktybek Orolbai | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Myktybek Orolbai | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Jeremiah Wells | 16c | 192.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.7 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Jeremiah Wells | 13c | 188.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…ddcfbacked Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 180$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 167$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.65per pick | 36cpaid | +411.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jeremiah Wells | 13c | 164.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.03 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…2cd4backed Jeremiah Wells | 15c | 157.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…eebfbacked Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 145.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…99e1backed Jeremiah Wells | 19c | 144.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | +11.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04ad…adb4backed Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 131.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +131%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…3dfabacked Jeremiah Wells | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Jeremiah Wells | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…83dfbacked Jeremiah Wells | 14c | 110.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Jeremiah Wells | 11c | 103.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4425…6e3bbacked Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…d62fbacked Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…e58cbacked Myktybek Orolbai | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…b5a2backed Jeremiah Wells | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Jeremiah Wells | 16c | 96.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1db5…ef2fbacked Jeremiah Wells | 12c | 94.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Jeremiah Wells win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.