UFC · resolved market
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f0b0cd3c2bf3f1b0996d43c1a6a325041eae93dff8f47c7e87fcfdbda590f45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Neil Magnyof Neil Magny, Ramiz Brahimaj
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $684,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $705,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $684,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Neil Magny | 42c | 205,831$86,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,382.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 58c | 200,000$116,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116,000 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 4c | 181,409$6,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,609.53 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Neil Magny | 45c | 42,590$19,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,527.64 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 55c | 37,104$20,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,377.65 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Neil Magny | 43c | 21,422$9,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,224.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 1c | 18,211$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.72 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 59c | 16,551$9,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,768.19 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Neil Magny | 41c | 14,087$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,311.22 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 56c | 11,156$6,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,212.75 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Neil Magny | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.93 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Neil Magny | 24c | 7,634$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,771.16 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b12…d642backed Neil Magny | 35c | 6,283$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,072.09 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Neil Magny | 42c | 5,980$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.55 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Neil Magny | 52c | 5,848$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.47 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 57c | 4,213$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.2 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 76c | 4,060$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.63 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Neil Magny | 23c | 3,957$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.37 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 58c | 3,927$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.73 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Neil Magny | 45c | 3,812$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 56c | 3,608$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.69 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Neil Magny | 31c | 3,032$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.19 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 78c | 3,017$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.05 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Neil Magny | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.99 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 58c | 2,824$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.76 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Neil Magny | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.58 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Neil Magny | 61c | 2,555$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.84 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a92…3c67backed Neil Magny | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Neil Magny | 60c | 2,318$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.48 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…b4bebacked Neil Magny | 32c | 2,297$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.18 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 52c | 2,030$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.6 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Neil Magny | 22c | 2,014$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.41 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 75c | 2,000$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.26 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Neil Magny | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Neil Magny | 27c | 1,871$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.22 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed Neil Magny | 41c | 1,829$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +129%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 57c | 1,828$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.83 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8527…9a7fbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 1c | 1,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Neil Magny | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.93 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…9120backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Neil Magny | 49c | 1,753$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.58 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Neil Magny | 19c | 1,707$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.86 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 50c | 1,613$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.53 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 70c | 1,498$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.19 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Neil Magny | 42c | 1,467$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 68c | 1,408$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.05 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Neil Magny | 34c | 1,289$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.61 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 34cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…42e7backed Neil Magny | 46c | 1,262$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Neil Magny | 30c | 1,254$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.24 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Neil Magny | 31c | 1,251$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.98 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 80c | 1,220$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.23 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed Neil Magny | 20c | 1,204$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +164.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…7aa2backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 61c | 1,153$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Neil Magny | 58c | 1,147$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.56 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969e…b834backed Neil Magny | 26c | 1,138$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Neil Magny | 39c | 1,100$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.62 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 56c | 1,072$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.32 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb94c…ae33backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 58c | 1,069$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…2665backed Neil Magny | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 39c | 1,062$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.34 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Neil Magny | 24c | 1,000$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +315.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Neil Magny | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Neil Magny | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Neil Magny | 48c | 999.83$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.91 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 32c | 917.23$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.62 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Neil Magny | 23c | 869.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.25 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 59c | 853.3$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 74c | 850.46$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 73c | 820.91$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 71c | 809.99$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.85 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 75c | 802.39$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Neil Magny | 24c | 794.02$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.21 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Neil Magny | 55c | 773.35$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 76c | 755.25$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 58c | 723.37$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.76 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Neil Magny | 43c | 720.93$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.93 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d4…dcc3backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 69c | 714.99$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.34 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 63c | 699.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Neil Magny | 46c | 679.42$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.53 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…a06fbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 58c | 669.48$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 56c | 666.88$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.45 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 67c | 652.69$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Neil Magny | 54c | 652$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.99 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Neil Magny | 23c | 599.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 59c | 536.66$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked Neil Magny | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Neil Magny | 25c | 531.09$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.76 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 74c | 523.85$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.74 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Ramiz Brahimaj | 59c | 520$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.1 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Ramiz Brahimaj | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Neil Magny win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Ramiz Brahimaj win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.