TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd32d…23b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT9151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Monterrey Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Kimberly Birrellbacked Kimberly Birrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.99
US Open, Qualification WTA: Darya Astakhova vs Marina Bassols Riberabacked Marina Bassols Ribera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+313.9%+$404.79
US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.25
US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Honbacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
US Open, Qualification ATP: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
US Open, Qualification ATP: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinkabacked Daniil Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$183.51
Winston-Salem Open: Adam Walton vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+149.5%+$29.13
US Open, Qualification ATP: Alex Bolt vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,030Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$507.4
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gauthier Onclin vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
ITF M15 Champaign, IL Men: Mitchell Sheldon vs Jelani Sarrbacked Jelani Sarr · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+44%+$16
ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Alejandro Garcia Carbajal vs Javier Barranco Cosanobacked Javier Barranco Cosano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.56
Roehampton 2: Anton Matusevich vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzminebacked Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Trevor Svajdabacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$76.56
Monterrey Open: Janice Tjen vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$31.05
Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
US Open, Qualification WTA: Dominika Salkova vs Akasha Urhobobacked Dominika Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$15.97
US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrezbacked Caroline Dolehide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.66
US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.71
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrellibacked Francesco Maestrelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.68
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Ayana Akli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.62
Winston-Salem Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.3
ITF M25 Oviedo Men: Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Jose Dominguez Alonsobacked Jose Dominguez Alonso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$12.53
ITF W75 Bytom Women: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Irina Fetecaubacked Irina Fetecau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.94
Winston-Salem Open: Francisco Comesana vs Yibing Wubacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$30.96
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+164.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landersbacked KT Wiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Skybacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Commanders vs. Lionsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.