MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fab745177646716551ca56a754da77617773b67422e52f05ab1047ccf5c4b42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philadelphia Philliesof Philadelphia Phillies, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $486,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $517,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 84,450$47,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,158.06 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 69,381$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 59,224$22,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,672.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 35,228$20,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,147.9 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71b…3c07backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 21,821$9,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,383.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 19,286$8,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,038.57 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 17,718$13,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,606.75 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 76c | 12,906$9,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.62 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 12,318$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,630.04 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 12,067$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,068.24 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.98 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 11,580$2,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,934.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…58c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 9,649$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,149.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 7,459$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.69 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 7,043$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.43 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 6,140$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.35 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 5,969$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,507.01 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 5,259$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 5,226$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.71 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 5,064$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.93 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 4,988$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.03 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…d0eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 4,497$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 3,983$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 3,929$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.27 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 3,861$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 3,834$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.72 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…0d4bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 3,376$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +288%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 3,371$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 3,370$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.07 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…c501backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,092$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,913$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.56 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 2,736$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.99 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 2,471$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.76 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 2,391$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,314$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.89 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.72 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 2,023$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.75 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 1,777$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.05 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe372…2d51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,756$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.04 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,729$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 13c | 1,459$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd47d…322bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,291$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 1,232$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,026$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.32 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,024$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.32 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 1,014$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.16 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 73c | 1,013$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.55 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 999.95$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.98 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 999.86$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.94 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 954.55$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 909$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.34 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…8366backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 852.27$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 785$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.55 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 783.8$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.79 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 772.07$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 79c | 663.62$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 615$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 602.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Philadelphia Phillies | 78c | 564.39$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 498.26$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 490.79$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 425.78$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.83 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 415.78$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.63 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea39…9d34backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 392$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.83 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 367.23$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…9050backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489c…2a36backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 333.33$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.67 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 68c | 331.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 314.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 312.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 75c | 310.92$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.02 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 300$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee2…e88fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 282.89$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.47 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…ebb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 74c | 277.81$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 277.39$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 270.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 266.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…663ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…0fadbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 260.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 260$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.