MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43bd3e4e7b7cdc80478ac0e73265f067f4a2de70c9f1018bf23d76e782fbe9b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,801
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 24,333$13,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,197.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 46c | 22,353$10,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,282.42 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 5,055$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 45c | 3,689$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 47c | 3,409$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.77 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 60c | 2,994$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.46 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 2,272$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.39 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 6c | 2,203$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.61 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Over | 3c | 1,700$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 7.2%5 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Under | 57c | 1,639$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.67 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 47c | 1,616$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.32 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 13c | 1,500$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 1,365$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.9 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 1,245$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.23 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 57c | 1,215$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.08 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Over | 1c | 1,134$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 1,033$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.85 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 28c | 955.73$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.98 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Under | 57c | 905.97$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.48 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Over | 4c | 867.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 43c | 803$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.29 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 49c | 794.85$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.51 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Under | 47c | 793.53$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.57 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 13c | 718.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 713.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.65 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e50…0ea8backed Over | 4c | 700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 57 | 7%4 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Under | 58c | 655$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 60c | 587$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Over | 5c | 561$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 43c | 537.65$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.49 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Over | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…3dccbacked Under | 60c | 471.2$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 49c | 470.19$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.44 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 5c | 460$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 431.18$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.72 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 5c | 409.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 57c | 375$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Under | 50c | 371.04$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.52 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 361$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 47c | 340.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.67 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…3c28backed Over | 9c | 333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 32c | 300.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 43c | 255.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 41c | 223$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Over | 37c | 218.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 57c | 186$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 47c | 170.44$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 53c | 145.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 13c | 144.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 44c | 122.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 40c | 118.65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.19 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Over | 11c | 112.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Under | 75c | 109.2$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Over | 45c | 97.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Over | 46c | 92.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 39c | 92.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 40c | 86.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 42c | 72.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Under | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked Over | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Over | 40c | 63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 47c | 61.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 42c | 61.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Under | 46c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a4…1963backed Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 40c | 45.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 204 | 56.9%116 W · 88 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 28c | 39.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 55c | 37.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…6660backed Over | 45c | 37.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 47c | 36.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 53c | 33.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 64c | 29.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Over | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Under | 48c | 25.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 105 | 57.1%60 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 52c | 24.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Under | 48c | 21.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 203 | 62.6%127 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 47c | 21.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Over | 47c | 21.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 74c | 19.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 63c | 18.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07b…161cbacked Under | 61c | 18.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesPhiladelphia Phillies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.