TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2613…3dcc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$90
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$32.32
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33.04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$29.25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.9
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.65
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.43
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40.46
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$32.4
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$4.4
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$18.26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.51
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.11
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$7.66
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$7.41
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$4.34
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+94.2%+$9.42
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.83
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8
LoL: T1 Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.34
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dorado Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.28
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$5.36
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Klim Sani4 vs summer bear - Game 1 Winnerbacked Klim Sani4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$15.5
Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$12.23
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+83.9%+$59.3
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$22.16
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$45.8
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.8
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+79.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$187
1st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$12.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$12.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs sleepers - Map 1 Winnerbacked aimclub · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.