Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x712ffbd566038eb5f18a3c513fe39743bdebba1448f6f5ce646783a83f8af59b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed SU Esports | 5c | 2,331$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.55 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed SU Esports | 29c | 760.64$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 648.4$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.04 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Misa Esports | 76c | 371.08$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed SU Esports | 24c | 286.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 332 | 37.7%125 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…a13fbacked SU Esports | 11c | 165.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Misa Esports | 76c | 150.63$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SU Esports | 25c | 136.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed SU Esports | 24c | 133.62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 118.56$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Misa Esports | 71c | 92.23$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25fe…ba20backed SU Esports | 26c | 87.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Misa Esports | 63c | 76.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SU Esports | 22c | 59.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked SU Esports | 24c | 49.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…cc8abacked SU Esports | 57c | 34.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Misa Esports | 80c | 28.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Misa Esports | 77c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…3dccbacked Misa Esports | 74c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…428abacked Misa Esports | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs SU Esports (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.