Lol · resolved market
LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4518a4ba83c2a054a1c23f5d546a3aceac8c0966e0096b06d0535b67f1dfe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, SU Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed SU Esports | 2c | 7,886$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.32 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…5418backed SU Esports | 1c | 5,236$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed SU Esports | 20c | 1,873$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.88 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked SU Esports | 14c | 1,285$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.05 | 320 | 36.9%118 W · 202 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed SU Esports | 27c | 911.66$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.12 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Misa Esports | 72c | 633.29$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.27 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…1321backed SU Esports | 18c | 518.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed SU Esports | 29c | 509.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.85 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…b2f5backed SU Esports | 18c | 417.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 169 | 50.3%85 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…059abacked SU Esports | 32c | 402.24$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked SU Esports | 11c | 378.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked SU Esports | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked SU Esports | 13c | 202.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Misa Esports | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 387 | 43.9%170 W · 217 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed SU Esports | 15c | 171.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked SU Esports | 31c | 159.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SU Esports | 7c | 153.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…6c9abacked SU Esports | 17c | 137.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 204 | 58.8%120 W · 84 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed SU Esports | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Misa Esports | 58c | 79.83$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 430 | 40.9%176 W · 254 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Misa Esports | 35c | 72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Misa Esports | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 597 | 40.7%243 W · 354 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Misa Esports | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Misa Esports | 59c | 54.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Misa Esports | 53c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…428abacked Misa Esports | 72c | 19.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs SU Esports (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonMisa Esports won
- LoL: Misa Esports vs SU Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.