Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb86abf01049c3cceb57acbfedf906bd844f3cc7631e0ae623d517b8097e37850
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEAM VISIONof TEAM VISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,778,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,964,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,778,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Team Spirit | 1c | 248,457$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked TEAM VISION | 42c | 125,322$53,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,202.9 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…9853backed TEAM VISION | 57c | 89,743$51,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,649.4 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Spirit | 48c | 80,000$38,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,399.84 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION | 51c | 58,604$29,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,608.47 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 44c | 58,304$25,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,650.55 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked TEAM VISION | 52c | 58,000$30,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,840 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Team Spirit | 49c | 55,785$27,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,303.45 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Spirit | 47c | 50,998$23,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,919.14 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 46,688$22,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,156.71 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Team Spirit | 64c | 44,995$28,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,803.74 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fb…675ebacked Team Spirit | 72c | 41,313$29,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,612.73 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed TEAM VISION | 36c | 37,417$13,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,899.28 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…0e8fbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 37,399$28,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,040.55 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed TEAM VISION | 54c | 36,371$19,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,865.77 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked TEAM VISION | 47c | 34,163$16,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,956.25 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaed…44f8backed TEAM VISION | 61c | 32,602$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,601.85 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Team Spirit | 49c | 32,100$15,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,728.98 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…6136backed Team Spirit | 49c | 30,174$14,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,868.56 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 28,088$12,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,457.32 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked TEAM VISION | 42c | 27,962$11,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,296.75 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a7…dc87backed Team Spirit | 63c | 26,700$16,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,713.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked TEAM VISION | 29c | 26,039$7,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,376.84 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Spirit | 33c | 25,678$8,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,477.73 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…429abacked Team Spirit | 49c | 25,229$12,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,312.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…f2f9backed TEAM VISION | 55c | 22,837$12,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,266.63 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…5e0dbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 22,681$11,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,650.94 | 73 | 79.5%58 W · 15 L | +9.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Team Spirit | 50c | 22,459$11,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,229.32 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Team Spirit | 46c | 22,249$10,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,244.38 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked TEAM VISION | 39c | 21,038$8,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,831.79 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…bd68backed Team Spirit | 50c | 20,106$10,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,026.51 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…9f81backed TEAM VISION | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…e0c4backed TEAM VISION | 52c | 20,000$10,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,630 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Team Spirit | 48c | 19,997$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.84 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…b7b1backed Team Spirit | 45c | 19,624$8,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,898.18 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Team Spirit | 32c | 18,572$6,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,018.43 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed TEAM VISION | 35c | 18,066$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,795.69 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed TEAM VISION | 52c | 17,536$9,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,387.44 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed TEAM VISION | 66c | 16,671$10,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,746.27 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1c22backed Team Spirit | 33c | 16,434$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.69 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Team Spirit | 56c | 16,431$9,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,130.94 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked TEAM VISION | 47c | 16,366$7,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,702.93 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…1c14backed TEAM VISION | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,840 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Team Spirit | 3c | 15,070$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.25 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked TEAM VISION | 49c | 14,624$7,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,421.97 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed TEAM VISION | 49c | 14,185$6,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,234.13 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…b287backed Team Spirit | 49c | 14,000$6,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,859.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Team Spirit | 74c | 13,800$10,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,176 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked TEAM VISION | 51c | 13,516$6,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,622.69 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Team Spirit | 37c | 13,492$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.59 | 124 | 47.6%59 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 13,309$5,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,075.2 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…5abfbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 13,142$9,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,853.07 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed TEAM VISION | 59c | 13,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.98 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Team Spirit | 77c | 12,860$9,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,930.83 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…0263backed Team Spirit | 49c | 12,819$6,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,227.2 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Spirit | 46c | 12,735$5,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,858.07 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked TEAM VISION | 45c | 12,302$5,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,768.25 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit | 19c | 12,130$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.86 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd972…017ebacked Team Spirit | 59c | 11,603$6,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,819.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked TEAM VISION | 54c | 11,581$6,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,327.48 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…e4e4backed TEAM VISION | 55c | 11,129$6,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,958.89 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed TEAM VISION | 54c | 11,108$6,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.88 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed TEAM VISION | 51c | 11,074$5,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.93 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Spirit | 56c | 10,982$6,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.21 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4049…aeaabacked TEAM VISION | 38c | 10,701$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,583.59 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeac…32bfbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 10,646$4,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,857.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed TEAM VISION | 50c | 10,000$4,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,046.51 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked TEAM VISION | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.97 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…637abacked Team Spirit | 49c | 9,937$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,912.98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked Team Spirit | 5c | 9,872$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.86 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Spirit | 41c | 9,277$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.37 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…361fbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 9,146$6,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,623.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fe…c200backed TEAM VISION | 55c | 9,059$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,058.86 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Team Spirit | 72c | 9,028$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed TEAM VISION | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.98 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Spirit | 46c | 8,965$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.22 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed TEAM VISION | 66c | 8,809$5,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Team Spirit | 40c | 8,661$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.9 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c2…f0e5backed TEAM VISION | 34c | 8,660$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,688.13 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Team Spirit | 64c | 8,643$5,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,513.24 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…fae7backed Team Spirit | 58c | 8,524$4,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc83…08f4backed Team Spirit | 26c | 8,482$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.75 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Team Spirit | 7c | 8,259$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Spirit | 61c | 8,139$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed TEAM VISION | 62c | 8,082$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.57 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked TEAM VISION | 55c | 8,045$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.46 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed TEAM VISION | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…42ffbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 7,759$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Team Spirit | 29c | 7,600$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Team Spirit | 18c | 7,580$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.15 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958b…50cebacked Team Spirit | 32c | 7,557$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.65 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…180dbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 7,495$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed TEAM VISION | 47c | 7,450$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.48 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 7,439$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.94 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked TEAM VISION | 51c | 7,351$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.88 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Spirit | 34c | 7,000$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Team Spirit | 56c | 6,992$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,934 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Team Spirit | 55c | 6,981$3,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.58 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Spirit | 34c | 6,927$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.93 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 4 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?Yes won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TEAM VISION (+1.5)TEAM VISION won
- Game Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs TEAM VISION (+2.5)TEAM VISION won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-2.5) vs Team Spirit (+2.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.