Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf025021f70a292dae25e1facbf9770a13df875bd5bb15363e5a58556c45622dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 52c | 3,272$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.33 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 48c | 3,131$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.96 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 54c | 1,975$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.66 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…b105backed Over | 47c | 724.52$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…2dcebacked Under | 55c | 499.95$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.98 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 50c | 347.74$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.63 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2d…4061backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 34c | 289.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.62 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Over | 46c | 279.76$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 54c | 277.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.44 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Under | 55c | 234.4$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…ba90backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 45c | 199.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 45c | 193.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked Over | 51c | 188.78$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 14c | 178$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 52c | 174.3$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 71c | 118.86$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 40c | 115.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…97c8backed Over | 45c | 107.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 53c | 107.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 366 | 60.1%220 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked Under | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…6583backed Over | 45c | 98.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 49c | 86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 49c | 63.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 63c | 60.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 48c | 48.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…bf53backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…78d4backed Over | 47c | 39.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked Over | 48c | 34.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Under | 62c | 33.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…e9d8backed Under | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Under | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…ff26backed Over | 48c | 27.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…0149backed Under | 73c | 23.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…3dccbacked Under | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Top Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.