Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe93b4b8b2e354ff6f494ce19fcc4b25c6ae92abccb66b1aa91bdb6ddb4e5b54e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Top Esports, Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,700 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Top Esports | 42c | 9,531$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.25 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Top Esports | 42c | 7,721$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,501.1 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 4,444$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.18 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Top Esports | 40c | 4,270$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.73 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 1,751$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.73 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Top Esports | 39c | 1,652$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.81 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 62c | 1,577$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.2 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 54c | 1,487$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.02 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Top Esports | 40c | 1,036$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.78 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 1,000$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…dfd8backed Top Esports | 41c | 945.59$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…f70cbacked Top Esports | 40c | 838.82$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Top Esports | 37c | 763.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.31 | 470 | 47.4%223 W · 247 L | +24.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Top Esports | 42c | 744.57$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.96 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Top Esports | 51c | 597.97$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.93 | 407 | 52.3%213 W · 194 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 593.72$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.3 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 59c | 573.81$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.95 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Top Esports | 15c | 415.47$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.15 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Top Esports | 40c | 385.6$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.36 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Top Esports | 67c | 321.48$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.46 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Top Esports | 38c | 307.95$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.93 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked Top Esports | 40c | 296.43$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.86 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 62c | 293.16$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.76 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -8.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Top Esports | 68c | 230.65$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.81 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 46c | 230.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Top Esports | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 268 | 56%150 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 54c | 180.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Top Esports | 42c | 167.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…804ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b3…de25backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 159.19$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Top Esports | 39c | 151.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 139.87$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 56c | 121.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Top Esports | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Top Esports | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Top Esports | 41c | 116.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.49 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Top Esports | 43c | 89.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 59c | 80.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Top Esports | 41c | 77.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 57c | 72.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.29per pick | 35cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Top Esports | 64c | 72.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Top Esports | 37c | 65.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 54c | 62.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 59c | 49.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 234 | 43.2%101 W · 133 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…6583backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 44c | 48.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Top Esports | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…15b2backed Top Esports | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 62c | 46.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 57c | 45.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 57c | 44.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 57c | 42.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8548…e4c1backed Top Esports | 68c | 40.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 39.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Top Esports | 38c | 38.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02a…9f2dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 37.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…ae44backed Top Esports | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf238…c3babacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Top Esports | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…47c0backed Top Esports | 54c | 29.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Top Esports | 41c | 28.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa1…7df6backed Top Esports | 40c | 27.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 26.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…1240backed Top Esports | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Top Esports | 63c | 20.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 58c | 17.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Top Esports | 70c | 16.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.