TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa02a…9f2d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.44
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.64
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs SK Gaming (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.85
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.13
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.08
LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.39
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.57
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.76
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.02
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.01
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.31
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.41
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.51
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.17
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$13.53
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.01
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.15
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.82
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.64
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+50.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.