Serie A · resolved market
ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d6084bc1044114606697b962e5c8042190fb46c13e3c80db8b71bb7f7c85231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 52c | 106,320$55,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,228.52 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 23,459$12,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,236.22 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Under | 48c | 21,848$10,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,360.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over | 53c | 16,268$8,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,622.12 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 47c | 15,660$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,299.58 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 14,236$6,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,386.53 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Over | 0c | 11,281$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 47c | 7,489$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.35 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 7,281$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 5,620$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.48 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 48c | 4,444$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.88 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…51b1backed Under | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 49c | 3,942$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 3,730$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Under | 47c | 2,920$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 48c | 2,706$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.33 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 48c | 2,706$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.33 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Under | 48c | 2,422$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 2,389$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.5 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 47c | 2,331$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.64 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 32c | 2,199$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.75 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 48c | 2,090$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…183cbacked Under | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 2,016$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.42 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Over | 1c | 1,860$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 13c | 1,458$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.56 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.16 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 49c | 1,100$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.61 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 33c | 999.77$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.92 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 48c | 997.98$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.77 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Under | 58c | 974.8$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 48c | 968.8$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.78 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 52c | 941.22$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.44 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 63c | 904.11$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.52 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +9.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 23c | 832.31$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.78 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +10.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 53c | 797.85$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.86 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 48c | 781.82$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.55 | 146 | 51.4%75 W · 71 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 52c | 763.89$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 22c | 740.9$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 53c | 733.43$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.72 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under | 47c | 674$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 48c | 604.62$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.4 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 571.3$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 52c | 560.31$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.36 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 488.46$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.37 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3b…7928backed Over | 53c | 482.4$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 48c | 465.35$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.98 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 48c | 460$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.2 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 73c | 440.21$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.55 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 53c | 439.39$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.88 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 47c | 411.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.35 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…9996backed Under | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Under | 48c | 394.89$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.34 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Over | 39c | 377.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…0758backed Over | 53c | 352.82$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 52c | 350$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Under | 48c | 350$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Under | 69c | 347.5$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 48c | 326.96$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 53c | 317.6$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.97 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 51c | 300.9$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.65 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 47c | 282.95$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 53c | 282.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Under | 48c | 274.47$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.68 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…41dfbacked Over | 53c | 271.37$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 248.57$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…f76ebacked Over | 52c | 248.23$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 47c | 216.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.54 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 22c | 214.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Under | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0e…a1fabacked Over | 53c | 202.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…5a94backed Under | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5this page
- ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5Under won
- ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-2.5)US Sassuolo Calcio won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)ACF Fiorentina won
- Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)ACF Fiorentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.