TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes0c42,518$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.248232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No73c3,733$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.852,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes16c2,141$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.212520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No54c1,189$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.951,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes46c1,052$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.816032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No42c711.87$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.2136456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c667.62$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0851139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No42c572.08$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.8124953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes58c541.1$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.845935.6%21 W · 38 L-11.7wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes58c420.7$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.6917744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c375.62$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No42c372.91$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed No48c347.15$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes49c298.02$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.033857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes58c285.72$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.723148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafb2…0942backed Yes59c267.61$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.8940%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes28c218.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.214835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0928…7200backed Yes58c215.12$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b33…044ebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes59c198.39$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.054847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No41c184.33$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.732854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5721…6746backed No56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26fc…41dfbacked Yes58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.481241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6114…69dbbacked Yes49c156.6$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7350%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes32c149.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.962821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Yes14c130$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.24632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed Yes45c107.55$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa410…f61fbacked Yes58c106.21$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5939354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.992948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes31c99.59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8715238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No72c98.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3214159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa237…d59abacked Yes59c97.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.553158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes59c97.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.556050%30 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa221…84e9backed Yes57c97.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.53850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes18c95.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.111717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x442d…f7bebacked Yes57c90.69$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6930%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Yes55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.652445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes43c85.89$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c3…196abacked Yes58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid+58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb817…bdc7backed Yes59c82.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Yes48c81.53$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.848858%51 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Yes57c80.33$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.795642.9%24 W · 32 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.64247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed No43c78.61$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.814759.6%28 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec6c…323abacked Yes26c73.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.121546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed No45c65.13$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.138965.2%58 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes46c63.59$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0914231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No41c62.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.956055%33 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No43c58.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.227453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes45c55.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes57c51.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2326744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ece…0163backed Yes57c51.27$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.232055%11 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed No42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes57c49.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0811161.3%68 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No51c47.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1213653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca0d…2602backed No70c43.49$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.052254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes59c42.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.361656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes53c40.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7649137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.413141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Yes58c37.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.772161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db7…d20ebacked Yes55c35.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.67425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked No49c35.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.163243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Yes57c34.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.711145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked No42c34.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Yes58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-83.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x216b…8528backed Yes59c33.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.515354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No44c32.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.458159.3%48 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked No44c32.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.311656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked No44c32.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes57c29.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.664566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccfa…6ee7backed No44c27.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.532352.2%12 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ea…af0cbacked Yes57c25.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed No43c24.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.256358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes45c23.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.627042.9%30 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed Yes58c21.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeef9…3c09backed Yes58c20.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab35…118dbacked No69c19.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a24…f55dbacked Yes57c19.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.