TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

ACF Fiorentina vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,587 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c5,831$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.151,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under36c4,879$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,122.273450%17 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c4,501$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.282,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over43c3,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.992520%5 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over32c2,999$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.513023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c1,469$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.8698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over77c1,273$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.481163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick72cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Over42c1,149$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.63221.9%7 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4778…b5dbbacked Over49c1,134$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb026…9c7bbacked Under49c1,052$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over78c1,046$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Over61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61070%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under55c994.68$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.721346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over49c989.19$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.78033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc74f…a9cebacked Over39c983.97$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c965.76$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.8491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over10c946.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.63013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c881.17$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.8551139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under53c866.79$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.241144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over46c841.52$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.5160%0 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over36c801.33$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.481717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf541…ac67backed Over66c742.12$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over49c693.81$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.964017.5%7 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over8c650$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5231738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over78c631.64$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.6819042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over16c625.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0349137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over72c600$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4322171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over28c587.75$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.973923.1%9 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-28.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under22c559.35$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.2868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d13…b939backed Over59c536.28$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.323164.5%20 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Over77c527.68$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.311566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Over72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under69c487.5$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over20c476$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.212035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over56c430.8$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.253860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under54c417.41$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.954835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over49c409.5$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Over8c384.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.393847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under22c380.04$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.4939354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x814f…aeecbacked Over69c371.73$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Under78c360.52$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under23c315.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0932854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under60c315.13$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4914159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over76c283.42$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.44557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under22c260.87$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1915354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Over77c256.14$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+8.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked Over14c255.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6670%0 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over50c253.01$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.512821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-36.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Over77c238.22$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over77c204.92$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7910259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9614748.3%71 W · 76 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over52c192.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.891127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Under75c170.47$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.621163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under29c165.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.213653.7%73 W · 63 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e6…f081backed Under36c158.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.44977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+57.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over74c156.41$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.532138.1%8 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-46.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over68c147.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0426747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9006…385abacked Over77c142.17$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.475642.9%24 W · 32 L-9.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over12c141.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0430828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf293…ba11backed Over50c137.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c134.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6434553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under62c130.59$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.22065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over23c130$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.94632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over77c128.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6213366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Under23c127.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.164759.6%28 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe86…9b6bbacked Over78c127$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.661662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under50c105.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4912350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4d6…b2a6backed Over77c103.76$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.893151.6%16 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick67cpaid-24.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over22c103$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.661118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.29per pick47cpaid-68.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501580%12 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over48c99.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.993119.4%6 W · 25 L-7.1wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-56.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Under24c99.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.56425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.472352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Over50c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under23c93.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4127453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.654158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over43c86.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4115238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f7c…a489backed Over50c80.32$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Over78c77.77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.662161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under23c76.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6536456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over46c75.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.733360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over32c74.94$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.983345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6525…c12cbacked Over35c71.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Under32c70$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.61250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x677c…6b53backed Over78c63.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.341154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over47c61.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.056552.3%34 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0838739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bbf…8d1ebacked Over49c58.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under71c55.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.21747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Over55c55.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.331656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over77c49.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9712565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f3…f727backed Over64c47.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6afa…e227backed Under62c47.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…d6f5backed Over59c41.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.19825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.394551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1276…0845backed Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3914231%44 W · 98 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under67c35.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6739740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.