NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ad3ebd93fc9fcd06a3cdf3ef87e455680df700819f9152091c871e3eeb3a0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $790,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $799,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $790,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Lakers | 47c | 141,626$66,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,061.9 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 49c | 132,770$64,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,771.5 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed Rockets | 53c | 121,475$64,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,381.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Rockets | 50c | 110,920$55,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,978.75 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Lakers | 52c | 70,000$36,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,599.94 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Rockets | 50c | 59,993$30,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,072.85 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Lakers | 49c | 43,083$21,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,972.56 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 49c | 38,708$18,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,912.75 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Rockets | 52c | 35,928$18,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,751.78 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 51c | 29,647$15,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,524.67 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Rockets | 51c | 26,810$13,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,609.89 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Rockets | 0c | 23,801$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf721…ecf5backed Rockets | 48c | 19,519$9,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,369.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rockets | 51c | 16,504$8,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,447.84 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…f5cfbacked Rockets | 48c | 15,983$7,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,671.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked Rockets | 47c | 13,628$6,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,460.76 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 54c | 13,558$7,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,193.82 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 50c | 12,072$5,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,975.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers | 51c | 11,508$5,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.73 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Lakers | 51c | 11,475$5,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,629.78 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Lakers | 49c | 10,486$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,369.28 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Lakers | 50c | 9,724$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.07 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Rockets | 53c | 9,174$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.11 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Lakers | 53c | 7,793$4,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,662.48 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Rockets | 53c | 7,774$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,120.43 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lakers | 49c | 7,383$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.56 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Lakers | 51c | 7,371$3,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Rockets | 51c | 7,336$3,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741.54 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Rockets | 52c | 6,901$3,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.35 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lakers | 52c | 6,888$3,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.23 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 51c | 6,800$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Rockets | 48c | 6,459$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.16 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 51c | 6,130$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003.78 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Rockets | 48c | 6,055$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.4 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Rockets | 48c | 6,055$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.4 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Lakers | 48c | 5,908$2,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.18 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Rockets | 47c | 5,803$2,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.59 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…ff91backed Rockets | 48c | 5,455$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.48 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Rockets | 48c | 5,450$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.76 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…31e2backed Rockets | 48c | 5,274$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 49c | 5,217$2,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.17 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…a1c5backed Rockets | 52c | 4,677$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Lakers | 52c | 4,669$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.23 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Lakers | 50c | 4,268$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Rockets | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.97 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Rockets | 51c | 4,174$2,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.53 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Rockets | 48c | 4,037$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.6 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Rockets | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Rockets | 50c | 3,750$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Rockets | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.99 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…ab23backed Rockets | 52c | 3,461$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.84 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Lakers | 52c | 3,458$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.12 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Rockets | 47c | 3,216$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.73 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c85…94a4backed Rockets | 51c | 3,138$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Rockets | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,952$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.94 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rockets | 47c | 2,934$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.08 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Rockets | 47c | 2,869$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.45 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 65c | 2,836$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Lakers | 65c | 2,800$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.03 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…030ebacked Rockets | 48c | 2,774$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Rockets | 48c | 2,665$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.23 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,659$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.52 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Lakers | 53c | 2,637$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.6 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 49c | 2,631$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.84 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Lakers | 49c | 2,626$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.23 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…ee05backed Rockets | 48c | 2,626$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.41 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,618$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.53 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…9cebbacked Rockets | 47c | 2,574$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.78 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,511$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.19 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Lakers | 48c | 2,502$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.8 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Lakers | 51c | 2,402$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.85 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…9743backed Rockets | 47c | 2,358$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.26 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Rockets | 47c | 2,354$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.29 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Lakers | 51c | 2,350$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.62 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…3371backed Lakers | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked Rockets | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Rockets | 50c | 2,072$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.12 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Rockets | 50c | 2,063$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.95 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed Rockets | 48c | 2,004$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Rockets | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…036ebacked Rockets | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Lakers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…b19abacked Rockets | 19c | 1,998$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.54 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Rockets | 50c | 1,989$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.7 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Rockets | 53c | 1,885$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.01 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…6854backed Rockets | 48c | 1,869$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.11 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Rockets | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.2 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rockets | 47c | 1,858$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.07 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Lakers | 49c | 1,759$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.72 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Rockets | 50c | 1,720$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Lakers | 48c | 1,674$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.25 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Rockets | 50c | 1,665$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.71 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Rockets | 48c | 1,653$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Lakers | 49c | 1,645$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.89 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,582$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.32 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd26…294bbacked Rockets | 51c | 1,507$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Rockets | 52c | 1,503$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.53 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Lakers | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.