TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,145

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,562 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7200…9299backed No51c831.78$425 inLost-$425.1636954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No47c531.18$250 inLost-$249.6526336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes53c456.32$243 inWon+$213.2616251.9%84 W · 78 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes51c299.69$153 inWon+$146.8523850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31fe…ad2dbacked Yes46c283.66$131 inWon+$152.48540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5954…21d7backed Yes47c250.74$118 inWon+$132.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed No46c132.92$61 inLost-$61.1414731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No51c119.99$61 inLost-$61.1956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7861…3d27backed No50c107.6$53 inLost-$53.337930.4%24 W · 55 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb98a…a724backed Yes53c102.64$54 inWon+$48.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed No49c98.92$48 inLost-$48.4714649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Yes49c98.63$48 inWon+$50.1525360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked No61c87.22$53 inLost-$53.2139265.1%255 W · 137 L+31.0wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed Yes39c83.99$33 inWon+$51.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No48c59.23$28 inLost-$28.2396956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes50c52.37$26 inWon+$26.3949247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Yes52c52.3$27 inWon+$25.119748.2%95 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b96…753cbacked Yes48c50.34$24 inWon+$26.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+61.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No48c49.14$24 inLost-$23.7133556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64f7…5bd7backed Yes53c48.59$26 inWon+$22.846540%26 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd3…5e2ebacked Yes49c39.66$19 inWon+$20.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No55c35.5$19 inLost-$19.4919555.4%108 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1105…2775backed Yes49c32.02$16 inWon+$16.33475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc1…fcedbacked Yes48c30.39$15 inWon+$15.86977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick43cpaid+79.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6cf…1025backed Yes56c29.7$17 inWon+$13.154744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b6…f93fbacked Yes48c25$12 inWon+$135137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No52c20.74$11 inLost-$10.8426957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Yes60c19.52$12 inWon+$7.8114049.3%69 W · 71 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.