TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,224

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0486…fbe5backed Under50c6,749$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.533100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+76.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,749.9843348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over54c4,134$2,233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,233.493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over0c3,349$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4631222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under45c3,015$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under42c2,914$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.591,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c2,520$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.931,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c2,498$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.131,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over52c2,235$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.1874748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c2,120$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.096,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under49c1,990$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.931046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Over51c1,941$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.012638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c1,573$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.491,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c1,513$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e7c…4d13backed Under46c1,492$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over51c1,456$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.5120744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over54c1,452$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.9668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over55c1,415$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.4140451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Over51c1,329$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.728154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over55c885.4$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4823251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Over56c869.29$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.828949.1%142 W · 147 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c823.46$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.831,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c801.09$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.768,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over55c681.25$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.1232450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Over55c619.18$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.553246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over42c520.59$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.491,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Under47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26513751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under47c449.39$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.5887049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f5…edd5backed Under50c409.79$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd54…a8e3backed Over52c397.11$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under49c374.19$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8471449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under57c371.18$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.781,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Over53c366.72$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.369642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under44c357.68$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.31,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Over51c353.87$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.5316153.4%86 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over54c345.17$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8621653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under47c324$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1617250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under47c319.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.141,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over53c299.99$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1599152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Over55c266.9$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9217758.2%103 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over51c256.73$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9337848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c252.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.485,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under45c244.8$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6432045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f5a…669bbacked Over18c239.38$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.791330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under48c221.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.4417740.1%71 W · 106 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under47c216.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under48c210.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under48c210.23$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3220040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Over52c198.91$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.433154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over54c189.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.814052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over50c156.95$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4837665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over48c133.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4123741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under46c132.52$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.568350.6%42 W · 41 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over59c125.06$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7912257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under44c118.45$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.331,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ccc…64c5backed Under67c118.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.412759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Under49c116.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3311850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c116.31$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.971,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5029…c8bebacked Over53c111.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.284346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Under48c107.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9214753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Under49c103.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7316450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5117748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112637.3%47 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under45c98.62$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6756043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over55c97.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5259650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c97.09$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.491,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3827945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over12c94.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.372,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under45c94.01$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6945251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over50c93.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8865045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aaa…9f09backed Over31c92.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under48c89.13$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3526147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Over50c88$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4427059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under46c87.98$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1615562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under44c87.6$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.053,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under48c87.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3412450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Over56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.686250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb36f…357cbacked Over54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under47c79.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0836153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over59c78.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.322349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under40c75.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.851,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over52c75.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.111,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Over51c75.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.317839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under49c75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2536749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under36c74.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6226336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over51c73.86$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.366143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over68c71.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0513342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under45c68.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.433556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Over55c61.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.064463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14bc…3904backed Under48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.494247.6%20 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+67.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8702…6304backed Under48c60.55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.499026.7%24 W · 66 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c59.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Over63c59.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.399542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8095…d7abbacked Over56c58.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.83565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+56.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under45c56.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8413047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Over51c54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.546648.5%32 W · 34 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Over51c54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5413837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.