NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeecf7428f0310c95f9b362c82ed4e111a6c4034f60ca6e2059134eb3ee8016f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Rockets | 48c | 13,699$6,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,575.44 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers | 52c | 9,575$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,595.82 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Rockets | 43c | 8,886$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,793.69 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Lakers | 50c | 8,235$4,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.65 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lakers | 52c | 4,886$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.19 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Rockets | 51c | 4,695$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.59 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Lakers | 53c | 3,750$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Lakers | 68c | 2,694$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.2 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Rockets | 47c | 2,030$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.3 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Rockets | 46c | 1,889$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.8 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers | 52c | 1,741$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.67 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Rockets | 3c | 1,550$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Rockets | 47c | 1,193$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.76 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed Rockets | 2c | 1,009$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Rockets | 4c | 942.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Lakers | 53c | 916.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.21 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lakers | 54c | 900.26$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.3 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…036ebacked Rockets | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Rockets | 16c | 824.51$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.27 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Rockets | 6c | 807.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…3c2dbacked Rockets | 47c | 650$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Lakers | 74c | 560.14$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Rockets | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…3bccbacked Rockets | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Rockets | 48c | 377.01$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.53 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rockets | 17c | 362.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Rockets | 47c | 274.5$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Rockets | 33c | 273.07$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…75a6backed Lakers | 67c | 267.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Lakers | 65c | 261.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Rockets | 46c | 261.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Lakers | 71c | 231.46$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Rockets | 8c | 215.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Lakers | 54c | 194.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rockets | 45c | 139.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Lakers | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…9891backed Lakers | 54c | 109.85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Lakers | 64c | 107.63$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…52a4backed Lakers | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…d23fbacked Lakers | 70c | 69.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Lakers | 80c | 59.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Rockets | 37c | 58.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 160 | 20%32 W · 128 L | -27.0wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Rockets | 53c | 55.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Rockets | 46c | 54.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed Lakers | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rockets | 25c | 52.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Lakers | 80c | 50.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Rockets | 46c | 50.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Lakers | 53c | 49.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…8e6bbacked Lakers | 80c | 49.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Lakers | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…757abacked Lakers | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Lakers | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Lakers | 52c | 45.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +13.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81ef…5f9bbacked Lakers | 74c | 43.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Rockets | 33c | 42.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…d401backed Lakers | 67c | 41.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Rockets | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Rockets | 49c | 38.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Lakers | 54c | 37.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Lakers | 80c | 28.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…5085backed Lakers | 55c | 25.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.