TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,917 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacb2…b989backed No48c510.88$245 inLost-$245.2249244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked No54c272.69$146 inLost-$146.077255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Yes44c214.21$94 inWon+$119.9613751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes45c184.18$83 inWon+$100.833,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…5095backed No54c180.02$97 inLost-$97.246836.8%25 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Yes62c155.35$96 inWon+$59.1620558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No38c150.06$56 inLost-$56.3826336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3893…8afbbacked No56c122.46$69 inLost-$68.585664.3%36 W · 20 L+9.5wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+63.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7b27…c539backed Yes50c100$50 inWon+$502060%12 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+58.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Yes52c96.37$50 inWon+$46.264553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdeb…8cd1backed Yes51c95.63$49 inWon+$47.111338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Yes45c84.13$38 inWon+$46.2721743.8%95 W · 122 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes46c75.73$35 inWon+$40.8971449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f3…d3e7backed Yes52c56.03$29 inWon+$26.895135.3%18 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb496…fd45backed Yes52c56.03$29 inWon+$26.8910135.6%36 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb98…3e81backed Yes52c50.33$26 inWon+$24.161936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes52c46.93$24 inWon+$22.6666046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Yes52c46.69$24 inWon+$22.4112548%60 W · 65 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Yes52c42.75$22 inWon+$20.524259.5%25 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No50c35.91$18 inLost-$18.0826957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No50c31.91$16 inLost-$15.9656050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…7436backed Yes45c25$11 inWon+$13.753246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes49c21.62$11 inWon+$10.9627539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed No55c19.99$11 inLost-$1141227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes54c18.7$10 inWon+$8.6916450%82 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.