NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62dee78c2621684e9475a39d0f9181dfe24b5d13cc01c3201eb6a9287c8cc8dd

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Lakersof Rockets, Lakers
Resolved: Apr 22, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,313,055
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,302,886

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,313,055 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 640 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Lakers	47c	362,165$171,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190,197.85	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Lakers	48c	194,491$93,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101,135.4	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Rockets	51c	168,597$85,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85,984.35	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Rockets	52c	136,000$70,720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,720	603	51.4%310 W · 293 L	+16.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…76adbacked Rockets	52c	92,547$48,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,124.42	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb99…7364backed Rockets	51c	79,983$40,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,791.47	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+213.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Lakers	49c	47,540$23,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,250.32	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers	49c	43,038$21,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,002.01	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaad3…f49ebacked Rockets	51c	37,548$19,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,149.62	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Lakers	43c	34,422$14,801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,620.38	286	43%123 W · 163 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Rockets	53c	32,937$17,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,456.63	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Lakers	47c	30,000$14,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,900	431	48.7%210 W · 221 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…b19abacked Rockets	23c	27,306$6,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,249.6	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Rockets	57c	25,738$14,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,610.9	423	48%203 W · 220 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Rockets	52c	25,127$13,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,066.19	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Rockets	51c	24,434$12,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,461.16	579	50.1%290 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Lakers	45c	22,381$10,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,309.56	136	42.6%58 W · 78 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Lakers	54c	21,921$11,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,990.28	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc91e…07ddbacked Rockets	52c	21,527$11,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,194.02	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf721…ecf5backed Rockets	52c	21,066$10,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,954.16	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Rockets	55c	20,621$11,244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,244.23	483	52%251 W · 232 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Lakers	49c	20,518$9,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,524.55	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rockets	52c	19,998$10,399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,398.88	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Rockets	52c	18,239$9,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,537.6	170	52.4%89 W · 81 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Rockets	52c	17,048$8,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,923.2	1,194	48.8%583 W · 611 L	-22.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Rockets	52c	15,706$8,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,196.53	170	55.3%94 W · 76 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a35…2fadbacked Rockets	54c	15,079$8,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,142.92	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Rockets	55c	14,600$7,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,980.6	124	50.8%63 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rockets	53c	13,383$7,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,156.33	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rockets	34c	13,169$4,538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,538.49	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Rockets	52c	12,177$6,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,332.22	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…b8ffbacked Lakers	69c	11,815$8,199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,615.93	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Rockets	47c	10,852$5,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,092.6	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Rockets	57c	10,717$6,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,107.51	272	51.1%139 W · 133 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Lakers	52c	10,436$5,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,976.36	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Rockets	51c	9,706$4,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,950.06	375	39.5%148 W · 227 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Lakers	47c	9,000$4,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,769.99	662	50.8%336 W · 326 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Rockets	38c	7,979$3,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,065.98	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Rockets	53c	7,957$4,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,217.23	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2a7…48febacked Rockets	52c	7,676$3,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,991.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa136…ea3cbacked Rockets	52c	7,471$3,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,884.8	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Rockets	52c	7,097$3,691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,690.56	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers	61c	7,047$4,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,748.41	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed Rockets	52c	6,961$3,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,619.66	193	59.6%115 W · 78 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Lakers	44c	6,533$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,633.12	107	47.7%51 W · 56 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets	55c	6,169$3,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,406.16	1,752	40.6%712 W · 1,040 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Rockets	52c	6,023$3,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,132.16	274	55.5%152 W · 122 L	+15.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Lakers	46c	5,968$2,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,222.69	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Rockets	52c	5,883$3,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,059.28	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51f0…9d31backed Lakers	48c	5,439$2,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,842.38	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Lakers	75c	5,233$3,941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,291.8	271	63.5%172 W · 99 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers	47c	5,227$2,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,745.13	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Rockets	57c	5,127$2,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,922.6	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-4.3wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Lakers	77c	5,113$3,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.02	102	39.2%40 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockets	25c	5,013$1,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,240.12	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockets	26c	4,948$1,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,269.35	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Rockets	56c	4,869$2,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,726.54	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rockets	55c	4,483$2,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,465.53	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets	53c	4,439$2,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,368.35	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Rockets	52c	4,326$2,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,249.67	144	41%59 W · 85 L	-12.8wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Rockets	56c	4,260$2,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,405.41	102	54.9%56 W · 46 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Rockets	57c	3,897$2,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,221.18	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Rockets	52c	3,885$2,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,020.1	795	49.7%395 W · 400 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Rockets	34c	3,737$1,255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,255.29	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Rockets	52c	3,735$1,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,942.4	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.1wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Rockets	56c	3,678$2,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,059.76	264	44.7%118 W · 146 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e54ebacked Rockets	53c	3,667$1,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,943.6	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+4.3wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Rockets	55c	3,254$1,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,789.83	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-5.1wins	-0.27per pick	48cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked Lakers	47c	3,235$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,714.33	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Lakers	46c	3,155$1,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,703.82	99	45.5%45 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Lakers	49c	3,061$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,561.3	128	50%64 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Lakers	47c	3,022$1,415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,606.68	120	58.3%70 W · 50 L	+11.9wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Lakers	61c	3,000$1,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,170	280	56.8%159 W · 121 L	+22.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+50.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Rockets	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529.98	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Rockets	56c	2,921$1,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.65	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-5.2wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Rockets	50c	2,917$1,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,458.72	492	44.3%218 W · 274 L	+11.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Rockets	52c	2,914$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,515.07	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6975…11c1backed Rockets	52c	2,914$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,515.07	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Rockets	52c	2,855$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.5	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+4.8wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+25%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd870…9b36backed Lakers	70c	2,818$1,964 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853.97	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+3.1wins	+0.31per pick	49cpaid	+73.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Rockets	52c	2,802$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456.8	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked Rockets	52c	2,631$1,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,368.1	135	63%85 W · 50 L	+15.6wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Lakers	48c	2,547$1,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,330.43	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers	48c	2,403$1,159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.03	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Lakers	53c	2,389$1,265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,124.42	87	52.9%46 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rockets	59c	2,348$1,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,383.92	857	42.6%365 W · 492 L	-15.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Rockets	52c	2,241$1,165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,165.44	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Rockets	56c	2,229$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a0…90febacked Lakers	48c	2,200$1,056 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,143.99	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+99.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Lakers	45c	2,155$972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,182.81	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Rockets	54c	2,090$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.6	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Lakers	48c	2,084$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,083.42	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Lakers	66c	2,080$1,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.21	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Rockets	50c	1,998$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.87	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Lakers	47c	1,995$941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054.1	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Lakers	80c	1,880$1,502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.82	203	52.7%107 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Rockets	52c	1,868$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.2	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…036ebacked Rockets	49c	1,805$882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$882	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	37cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Rockets	12c	1,799$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.87	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Lakers	47c	1,781$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$945.16	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5No won
Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5No won
LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5Under won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 13.5No won
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Lakers won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event