TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Under42c8,572$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,971.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over38c8,488$3,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.523,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Over41c5,327$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,165.1910239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over57c4,196$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.7517553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd870…9b36backed Over55c4,152$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.291080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+73.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over59c4,101$2,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.932,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under45c3,886$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.61,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b8…043fbacked Over60c3,210$1,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,914.539861.2%60 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c3,140$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.519,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe791…fab8backed Under45c3,043$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over1c2,852$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5831222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c2,231$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.762,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c1,979$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.848,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under41c1,925$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.6921446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c1,790$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.911,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f5…ab8cbacked Over59c1,768$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.051233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+87.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under46c1,614$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.4263746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under47c1,541$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.4224247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Over14c1,462$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.073231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Over57c1,196$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.9421957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over17c1,118$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.047334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over58c1,103$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.0856945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over59c1,064$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.4593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Over31c1,029$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.2619443.3%84 W · 110 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over26c1,010$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9113128.2%37 W · 94 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under36c904.18$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.3926336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over57c855.81$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.071435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over58c844.43$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.3127158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under40c772.7$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.341,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over57c769.36$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.3813655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Under24c710.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.81127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under46c659.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.3420946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under45c605.14$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.5938947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under52c575.39$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.731,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over58c559.67$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.616956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf9…c81bbacked Over53c548.56$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.5715442.2%65 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7df…7f82backed Over58c546.93$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.82222.7%5 W · 17 L-6.5wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-57.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over73c538.74$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.5311873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Over57c516.33$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.313161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+51.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under42c499.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9911437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under42c487.27$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.893,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc306…accdbacked Over53c485.9$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.532250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over62c462.93$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5312257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under46c439.79$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8632450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under43c434.82$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.8762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb675…779fbacked Over7c428.58$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.72520%5 W · 20 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xef25…c969backed Over17c370.13$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.925246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8429554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under43c340.39$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8914052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Over58c337.13$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.547255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under46c335.8$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7487049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under43c332.47$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5124949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over59c306.4$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0322349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Over58c302.52$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4612851.6%66 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14438242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over49c296.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4129848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over69c269.9$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.53641.7%15 W · 21 L-5.9wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under52c258.77$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.211,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd1…3e85backed Over58c255.85$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+51.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b74…b8abbacked Over60c248.16$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.131643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked Over59c247.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.317343.8%32 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under46c246.95$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.1410552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Over58c243.7$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3516555.8%92 W · 73 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5621147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Under27c226.82$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.559542.1%40 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under47c221.4$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b32…3cc9backed Over77c209.09$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under30c205.91$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.281,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Under46c202.62$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.0214854.1%80 W · 68 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…7a6abacked Over30c201.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.141631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x414c…f10bbacked Over50c201.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.78875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under46c199.96$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9858953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over52c198.31$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.1212536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under46c197.93$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.881,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over50c181.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2527245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under30c177.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1159250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c176.17$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Over56c174.7$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3472250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a1…578abacked Over56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.362441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac79…b120backed Over57c170.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under50c165.85$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.611,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Over59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5411261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under42c157.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1832045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43a…3cafbacked Over64c156.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over54c156.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2569049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under48c153.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.591361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over58c150.56$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2431151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under42c149.97$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9822453.1%119 W · 105 L+29.4wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+29.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb9ab…c6b3backed Over68c144.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.07580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dab…a38dbacked Over13c143.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+64.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Over70c140.49$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.192770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c139.78$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.851,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over30c138.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.693,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over72c136.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.325556.4%31 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d89…94d0backed Over77c128.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.614052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under39c124.34$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.346959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Over55c123.84$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.118744.8%39 W · 48 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over57c120.24$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.532740.7%11 W · 16 L-5.5wins-0.20per pick61cpaid-33.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Over51c118.77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.579152.7%48 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8380…b151backed Over55c118.53$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1915056%84 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.