TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,109 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b70…3102backed Yes54c256.73$139 inLost-$139.274463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No47c222.73$105 inWon+$118.015,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No48c199.99$96 inWon+$10456050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes52c177.82$92 inLost-$92.4242348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes55c176.82$97 inLost-$97.38843.2%38 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed No46c175.34$81 inWon+$94.789947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No44c83.68$37 inWon+$46.862,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No45c82$37 inWon+$45.153,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed Yes54c36.01$19 inLost-$19.4524566.9%164 W · 81 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9803…719abacked Yes55c35.38$19 inLost-$19.462245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Yes54c29.58$16 inLost-$15.9743752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No48c23.64$11 inWon+$12.2976054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb57a…8e02backed Yes54c22.53$12 inLost-$12.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed No46c21.82$10 inWon+$11.7814052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.