NBA · resolved market
LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1869e1e49b93f7bce33a56d5a04f52cd36d5a0e57f70751f30e5749d3be94511
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 58c | 521.85$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.03 | 337 | 49.3%166 W · 171 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 43c | 298.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 43c | 174.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…490bbacked Yes | 59c | 147.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 40c | 136.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 41c | 129.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Yes | 60c | 122.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 40c | 115.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked No | 47c | 113.98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…e8bdbacked Yes | 47c | 105.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 330 | 49.1%162 W · 168 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Yes | 60c | 102.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…bd68backed Yes | 55c | 100.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…68bebacked Yes | 58c | 83.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 41c | 70.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 45c | 67.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…baa1backed No | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…0a9cbacked Yes | 57c | 59.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 42c | 55.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 43c | 54.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb98…3e81backed Yes | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Yes | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Yes | 59c | 49.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56e…a853backed No | 53c | 47.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 43 | 93%40 W · 3 L | +12.5wins | +0.29per pick | 64cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 56c | 43.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802e…76fdbacked No | 53c | 40.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 58 | 87.9%51 W · 7 L | +13.6wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed No | 62c | 39.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed No | 43c | 38.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…346fbacked No | 58c | 35.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…0c79backed Yes | 59c | 33.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked No | 43c | 30.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed No | 43c | 26.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 59c | 25.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 41c | 25.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 193 | 52.8%102 W · 91 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Yes | 57c | 25.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4528…c882backed No | 45c | 22.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 57c | 20.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd80…393abacked Yes | 58c | 18.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb87c…d60dbacked Yes | 64c | 18.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.