NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaa68cfd9e8032f93d1761556038753b31ebd7cb2a270ba556c1f954c2056399
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 53c | 10,098$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.33 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 5,377$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.26 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 48c | 3,024$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.05 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 47c | 1,985$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.86 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 46c | 865.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 504.08$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.83 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 502.35$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.13 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.95 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 54c | 468.19$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.37 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3048…057fbacked Over | 54c | 418.69$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.1 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Under | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…a1f1backed Under | 24c | 301.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Over | 54c | 297.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Over | 53c | 242.95$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 50c | 242.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 46c | 236.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.25 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.83 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 46c | 163.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Over | 52c | 129.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 52c | 97.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Over | 75c | 97.18$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf2…8bf0backed Over | 53c | 91.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…d843backed Over | 56c | 87.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 74.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Under | 46c | 63.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 49c | 58.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 45c | 43.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 38.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3841…ad85backed Over | 52c | 37.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…d401backed Over | 54c | 34.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 65c | 25.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 47c | 24.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 405 | 46.9%190 W · 215 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Under | 50c | 21.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 50c | 20.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +19.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 74c | 17.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 100.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-2.5)Lakers won
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)Lakers won
- Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Alperen Sengün: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Alperen Sengün: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Amen Thompson: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Luke Kennard: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Reed Sheppard: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Rockets vs. LakersLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 205.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 206.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 209.5Under won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Rockets (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.