TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

LeBron James: Assists O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,794 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6dd9…bfe8backed No60c652.52$393 inWon+$259.5465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b96…753cbacked Yes41c506$208 inLost-$207.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+61.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No54c294.13$158 inWon+$135.75,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes45c199.09$90 inLost-$89.5933749.3%166 W · 171 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed No56c190.48$106 inWon+$84.3820247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63f2…0c0fbacked Yes42c137.27$58 inLost-$57.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes46c119.77$55 inLost-$55.128455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed No60c95$57 inWon+$3810148.5%49 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Yes41c71.04$29 inLost-$28.9318842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes38c63.34$24 inLost-$24.0766046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…a219backed Yes46c62.58$29 inLost-$29.049944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36c…0e2fbacked Yes47c61.8$29 inLost-$29.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdabb…8cc4backed Yes46c47.29$22 inLost-$21.757655.3%42 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked No59c33.31$20 inWon+$13.8114445.8%66 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No54c30$16 inWon+$13.826957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes45c29.99$13 inLost-$13.57443.2%32 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed No53c27.29$14 inWon+$12.996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x295f…37b0backed No55c27.27$15 inWon+$12.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes39c27.1$11 inLost-$10.5262047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No55c26.54$15 inWon+$11.9414953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed No54c20$11 inWon+$9.314052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.