TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,072 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Over54c12,334$6,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,650.72,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under46c8,239$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,451.41,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over52c2,999$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.2569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over52c2,667$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.2132846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Under46c2,207$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.7121446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0559…e817backed Over51c2,060$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.58757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick32cpaid+62.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under46c1,756$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.671,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under48c1,712$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.984951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under46c1,701$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.1138947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4059…3371backed Under46c1,300$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under46c1,227$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.1149249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c1,195$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.549,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c1,179$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.491,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under49c1,151$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.2420744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under47c1,100$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58345146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Over54c1,035$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.138347%39 W · 44 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over45c975.59$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0231643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c975.42$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.734,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over51c974.24$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.862245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over52c966.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under48c928.43$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.7918343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Over51c818.94$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.669451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under52c751.82$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.661,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under55c740.38$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.171,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c699.27$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.631,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over59c661.93$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1595452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under45c633.64$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.51,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c606.7$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.451,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c564.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3531222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x968f…5129backed Over53c552.24$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.691030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c523.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under47c503.5$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.096,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under50c484.97$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4917052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c435.15$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.9187049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Over52c419.45$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.1115650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Under47c412.6$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6816743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea4…ea06backed Under49c402.52$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.283956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fd3…bd04backed Over52c392.85$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over52c386.54$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20119348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Under49c370.15$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.782454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over53c363.43$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4238432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Over52c362.19$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3414049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over55c353.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.63348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under48c318.9$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8313750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c313.01$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under49c242.35$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.661638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under46c214$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.5656843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under47c211.83$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.511,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Over52c207.84$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.087350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over52c203.58$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.867643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c193.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.882,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa1…baa1backed Under48c177.68$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.396943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under48c156.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.614052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe372…6a34backed Over51c153.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.542846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c9…1ec6backed Over47c149.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.144242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under49c147.9$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.883,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under48c145.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5734854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over51c130.31$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.923741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c129.47$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.862051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over51c128.63$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.62147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c125.79$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4132450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under48c121.1$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.979653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Over51c116.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9115562.6%97 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over52c105.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0520249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Over52c104.59$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.394042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Over50c102.82$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4114237.3%53 W · 89 L-11.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Over53c100.4$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.068658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5341050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.559650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d3e…5085backed Over54c95.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over25c93.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.463,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Over52c93.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5612346.3%57 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdffd…924fbacked Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5913949.6%69 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Over53c91.66$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5811946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7894…7b9dbacked Over53c87.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.359245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under49c85.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under47c85.35$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce5c…41f3backed Under48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.982454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under48c80.73$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9893145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under47c74.98$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7456043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6be…f675backed Over52c74.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.851947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over51c68.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1862049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under46c66.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.891,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Under50c65.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9832750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over51c61.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7862047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under43c60.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3259743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d7…3ed2backed Over50c57.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.11250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Under51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9825360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba90…a450backed Over52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.143253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over51c54.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2216842.3%71 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x178f…774bbacked Over50c49.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d7…9d06backed Under51c48.97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Over54c48.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2523445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under50c48.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2527945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2537037.3%138 W · 232 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a56…695bbacked Under45c48.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.595352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Over55c47.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.183860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.