TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba90…a450

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
280
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Tennis, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT6533.8%22 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$257.14
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)backed Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Australia (-1.5)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$131.48
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$55
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT4860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanubacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$21.23
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.36
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.43
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Eala (+1.5)backed Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$21.45
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)backed Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.14
HSBC Championships: Maria Sakkari vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+110.5%+$21
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Zhizhen Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21.64
Libema Open: Katie Volynets vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$21
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$22.29
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.73
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.27
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-2.5) vs Svajda (+2.5)backed Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$21.95
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT3650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.26
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$52
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.58
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.43
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.44
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.97
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.21
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.32
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$62.97
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$58.33
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$183
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$100.96
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$326.88
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$160.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$53.08
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$221.87
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$103.04
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$127.78
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$218
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perrybacked Perry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$56.9
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Shauna Bannon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Joaquin Buckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Yaroslav Amosov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.69
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.56
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Roman Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.21
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$20.84
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Jack Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tai Tuivasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Kevin Christian (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Junior Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Colby Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
UFC Fight Night: Wes Schultz vs. Ben Johnston (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Ben Johnston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jonathan Micallef · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Victor Valenzuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.05
UFC Fight Night: Julia Polastri vs. Talita Alencar (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Talita Alencar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$40.77
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$7.46
UFC Fight Night: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jamie Siraj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+62%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$60
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$26.89
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$99.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.93
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+212.5%+$25.44
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick53cpaid+69.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+93.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+85.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$39.11
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$18.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.67
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)backed FC Tōkyō · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" 20 or more times during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.