MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33d2a04e00bbb0428f22926972e69a4fc049f5c689c05a127adc9ecb7b97da91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Boston Red Sox, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $510,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 115,064$60,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,945.06 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 85,726$45,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,855.07 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 30,092$20,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,562.59 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 26,596$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,095.74 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 18,393$8,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,358.91 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 16,391$7,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,465.86 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 50c | 15,530$7,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,764.76 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 14,846$7,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,429.27 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 13,958$6,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,678.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 12,963$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.82 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 10,010$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.95 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.97 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.94 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 9,240$5,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,147.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 7,777$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,121.81 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 7,342$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.17 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 6,308$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.31 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Boston Red Sox | 24c | 6,238$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.22 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 5,707$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.1 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 5,320$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.47 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 5,293$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.99 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 4,690$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 3,973$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.2 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 3,972$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.11 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 3,944$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.1 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 3,749$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.05 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,529$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.15 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 45c | 3,425$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.17 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.3 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 2,893$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.68 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 2,119$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.28 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 2,083$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 2,037$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 1,990$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.64 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 1,847$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.73 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,759$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,742$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.4 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 1,706$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.66 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,600$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,556$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.14 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,548$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.52 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 1,545$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.32 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,516$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…b070backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 1,436$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.93 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 1,317$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.49 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Boston Red Sox | 21c | 1,297$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 1,253$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.13 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,117$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.88 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Boston Red Sox | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -9.2wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,102$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.26 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 1,097$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.39 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,056$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.68 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,027$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Boston Red Sox | 25c | 1,023$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.58 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,005$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.61 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 978.95$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.27 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 909.8$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.42 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 900$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 899.17$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.81 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 897.53$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.06 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 881.3$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.32 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…4f61backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 805$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 782$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.46 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 54c | 744.65$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 716.69$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.61 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 46c | 705.8$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.13 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…0828backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 699.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 699.35$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.14 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 674.86$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.62 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 666.66$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 665.13$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.95 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Boston Red Sox | 48c | 657.75$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.77 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…641abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 628.93$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.33 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 610$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.2 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 603.94$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.05 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Boston Red Sox | 16c | 603.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 601.48$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.03 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…fbbcbacked Boston Red Sox | 48c | 599.93$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 594.22$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Boston Red Sox | 22c | 585.19$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…1fe9backed Boston Red Sox | 12c | 583.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Boston Red Sox | 25c | 581.06$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 572.98$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.36 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 550$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 501.94$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 470.97$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 470.34$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.72 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 465.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 457$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.21 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.