TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0099…b070

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 62 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT3455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.12
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$9.42
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$152.51
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$633.78
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+65%+$239.24
Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$815Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.6%+$567.11
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,043.66
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$431.12
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,248.38
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+204%+$197.2
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+174.1%+$814.8
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.57
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,018Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$1,163.61
Boston Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.91
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$26.5
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$718Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$654.09
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.07
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.44
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$263.52
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$108.05
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$127.42
New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.81
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$316.4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.68
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+189.8%+$543.75
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+133.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$202.32
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+372.5%+$909.8
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+219.5%+$278.24
Titans vs. Cardinalsbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$341.67
Buccaneers vs. Seahawksbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+98.3%+$140.63
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+207.9%+$2,078.18
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+245.2%+$411.2
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
49ers vs. Ramsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+165.2%+$356.97
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$58.33
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.87
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,025.12
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$68.73
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.28
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$39.48
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.64
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.23
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$285.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,638Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,638.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $126,000 September 29-October 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$342.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.85
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.