MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d60f00d01ac92449a67fd52deee5f8e3d760c97d04d9a11e1c4b72ab8afb2c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $536,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $635,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $536,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets | 55c | 156,866$86,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,276.34 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 115,665$54,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,804.27 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 55,556$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,555.56 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 31c | 33,233$10,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,290.27 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 33,102$14,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,206.12 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 55c | 33,000$18,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,149.9 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 20,222$11,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,334.63 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 16,189$11,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,522.1 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 56c | 13,063$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 44c | 12,395$5,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,453.89 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 42c | 11,880$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 11,631$5,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,350.52 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 43c | 10,182$4,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.43 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 9,201$5,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.65 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed New York Mets | 38c | 6,317$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.53 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 5,681$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.35 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…5586backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 4,336$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 4,094$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.05 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 4,073$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked New York Mets | 52c | 4,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.99 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 3,103$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.48 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked New York Mets | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…ef29backed New York Mets | 56c | 2,538$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 2,330$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.74 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,076$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.73 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed New York Mets | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…db19backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 1,894$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked New York Mets | 42c | 1,881$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.96 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked New York Mets | 41c | 1,354$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.46 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 1,312$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.92 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed New York Mets | 38c | 1,283$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.39 | 346 | 39.6%137 W · 209 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked New York Mets | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed New York Mets | 24c | 1,207$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.89 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,100$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 29c | 1,099$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.64 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets | 55c | 999.88$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.93 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed New York Mets | 2c | 945.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…b070backed New York Mets | 34c | 930.74$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed New York Mets | 31c | 908.03$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.99 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed New York Mets | 40c | 891.59$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.54 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Mets | 32c | 890.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.12 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed New York Mets | 19c | 800$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Mets | 33c | 772.5$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.77 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Mets | 55c | 706.94$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed New York Mets | 14c | 696.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked New York Mets | 27c | 610$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 602.04$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.04 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed New York Mets | 55c | 599.91$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 584.2$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.78 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc7…7275backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 583.04$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.67 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 575$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed New York Mets | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed New York Mets | 34c | 515.61$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 508.54$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked New York Mets | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…160bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 478.96$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.43 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed New York Mets | 29c | 474.93$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.65 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 34c | 440.67$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.83 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 414.82$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.59 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 406.79$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 383.11$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 360$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 31c | 333.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 328.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.46 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed New York Mets | 49c | 320.7$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 303$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.65 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed New York Mets | 12c | 299.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 299.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 299.94$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.96 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Mets | 32c | 291.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed New York Mets | 7c | 291.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed New York Mets | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked New York Mets | 56c | 266.36$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.16 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Mets | 27c | 264.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked New York Mets | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 248.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 247.16$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 244$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed New York Mets | 17c | 234.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…0dedbacked New York Mets | 45c | 232.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed New York Mets | 37c | 223.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 220$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 415 | 49.2%204 W · 211 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 216.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 215.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed New York Mets | 56c | 215$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsthis page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.