MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe94379d5a8500bdebb9bf3a9b68eae26cff9e8e17b756e8b1f47263bd91da95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,073
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,073 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 49c | 14,082$6,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,182.03 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Under | 50c | 11,059$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.69 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Over | 50c | 7,793$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.28 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 4,935$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,459.94 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 4,817$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.94 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Under | 50c | 4,550$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 52c | 3,862$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.42 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 3,140$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 44c | 2,408$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.43 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 39c | 2,103$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.37 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 2c | 1,842$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 48c | 1,314$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.05 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 1,303$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,064$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.99 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 48c | 1,044$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.52 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 53c | 881.56$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.71 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 61c | 851$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.89 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 774.45$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 710.84$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.07 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 52c | 673.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.47 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 600$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…d95dbacked Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 48c | 551.36$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.71 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Under | 51c | 481.85$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.55 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 420$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 51c | 374.57$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 61c | 332.22$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 318.33$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.83 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 61c | 313.75$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 60c | 236$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 51c | 222.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 221.83$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 50c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…01ddbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Over | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…e2dfbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Over | 50c | 197.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 50c | 196.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…6007backed Over | 50c | 192.1$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 47c | 186$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 51c | 169.92$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Under | 53c | 167.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 286 | 39.2%112 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…af22backed Over | 50c | 163.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.68 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 158.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 147.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 50c | 143.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 13c | 135.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 131$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 51c | 127.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 67c | 117$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 65c | 116.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…c745backed Over | 63c | 110.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 64c | 109$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 52c | 102.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…c242backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed6…2322backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…637bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 60c | 91.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 81.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 50c | 81.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 47c | 78.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…f631backed Over | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 48c | 73.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…7d46backed Under | 50c | 63.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -6.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bba…e4a7backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f6…0981backed Over | 50c | 57.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 53c | 53.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…bffcbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,803 | 53.8%970 W · 833 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 48.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…829cbacked Over | 50c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 46.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 61c | 44.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York MetsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York MetsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.