TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$645,032
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$689,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,032 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9158…fa7bbacked No51c110,000$55,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,6003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Yes49c80,006$39,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,411.311050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes50c48,910$24,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,476.856357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No50c45,924$22,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,961.7520140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No50c40,416$20,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,241.1628355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Yes50c35,481$17,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,740.441241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c31,769$15,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,956.791,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00030851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes50c25,000$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,5003050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No52c22,132$11,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,467.4615949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c21,076$10,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,848.516,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Yes49c17,100$8,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,721.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No50c15,324$7,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,662.115054%27 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No54c11,982$6,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,443.5815049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No49c9,204$4,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,509.9610849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes50c8,848$4,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.969450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes50c8,735$4,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,351.8717958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No49c8,675$4,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,213.0610357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No51c8,223$4,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,210.3435758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed No51c8,086$4,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,123.77742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes50c8,041$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,040.8213834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd54a…00c0backed No51c8,004$4,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,089.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes70c8,000$5,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,429.5120039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked No51c7,856$4,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,006.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes49c7,750$3,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,943.319450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed No51c7,500$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.845042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes66c7,149$4,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.7441344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No34c6,266$2,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,102.2551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb59c…8af7backed Yes49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3134…1b18backed Yes50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0002030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes50c5,981$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,991.44933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…1eecbacked Yes45c5,114$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,830.741127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed No50c5,026$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.011643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6389…80babacked Yes49c5,001$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,541.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yes41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9503834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50013837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No51c4,137$2,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.9832037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x530f…8714backed Yes49c4,130$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,104.841540%6 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e62…ec52backed Yes49c4,100$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be4…47c3backed Yes49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf17b…d0a7backed No52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yes49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04011838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked No50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.99110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c3,396$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.234,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…33bdbacked No52c3,366$1,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes77c3,332$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.1469772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes58c3,122$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.372352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0471…2f68backed No52c3,080$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc560…1fc1backed No50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8db…4e5bbacked No49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x826d…9947backed Yes50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe081…a4b1backed Yes53c3,000$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812c…3cd4backed Yes53c3,000$1,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x462c…2fa3backed No49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No50c2,997$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.4511750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes48c2,939$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.931655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed No52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes49c2,750$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes49c2,750$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.346248.4%30 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64f4…a953backed Yes49c2,626$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No50c2,600$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x958c…4d8abacked Yes52c2,552$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c42…2973backed No51c2,376$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7433…5930backed Yes50c2,376$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No51c2,353$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.017448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…87c7backed Yes48c2,318$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick41cpaid+155.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Yes49c2,262$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0be…867bbacked Yes48c2,245$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9004…2a40backed Yes50c2,240$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa86b…79debacked No51c2,240$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e62…8603backed No50c2,239$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.3440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf453…9c8dbacked Yes51c2,239$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d95…9d3cbacked No51c2,228$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.83366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ec…57d6backed Yes51c2,228$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.88333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No48c2,223$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.5290751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…46c2backed No51c2,185$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e51…0548backed Yes48c2,162$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9afb…a5bfbacked No51c2,158$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes53c2,123$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.648448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4076…f2f9backed Yes48c2,098$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes59c2,069$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.324454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe050…5f57backed No51c2,059$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3839…5576backed Yes50c2,050$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d75…4fd5backed No52c2,038$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8621…fa29backed No51c2,016$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Yes50c2,013$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.461963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0203452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+73.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbe20…c1d8backed No51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes49c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0303537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed No48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96045936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35f0…296dbacked Yes51c1,999$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be7…4690backed No50c1,999$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fec…5b6fbacked Yes49c1,977$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No2c1,968$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3719743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes48c1,952$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.3810455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b6…7b4fbacked No50c1,810$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc446…c175backed Yes51c1,809$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+43.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.