TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham win on 2025-10-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$190,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,116 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe427…4c44backed Yes26c36,535$9,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,497812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked No77c34,720$26,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,985.653060%18 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes23c26,074$5,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,997.069636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c18,870$14,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,497.646,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No78c12,750$9,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8053050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes23c10,709$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.0620039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd075…df51backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes24c8,118$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.4414544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked No79c7,010$5,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.474161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes22c7,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,54035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No76c6,086$4,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.359450%47 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes23c6,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.99110%0 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No71c5,766$4,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,67935758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No56c5,272$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.424,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes10c5,128$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.79450%47 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No77c4,978$3,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.3831655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9911838.1%45 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes24c3,392$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.212352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Yes23c3,036$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.259235.9%33 W · 59 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes23c2,550$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes30c2,200$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.554454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Yes66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9902737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No75c1,355$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.8190751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes25c1,036$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2597028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2209861.2%60 W · 38 L+12.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2306051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23010159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes12c983.82$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0625836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes24c966.67$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2329537.9%36 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No79c963.66$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.4569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes22c933.61$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No51c908$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.7867042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Yes23c785.09$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.571816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed No78c641.72$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.183063.3%19 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d3d…ad08backed Yes24c554.17$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No45c519.28$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1256453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Yes23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11570%0 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe797…2b36backed Yes22c499.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No77c490.75$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8721154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes23c436.15$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7617745.8%81 W · 96 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb16e…eff7backed No77c416.52$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes24c415.37$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.213345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No78c380.76$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6615764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No76c373.67$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6810455.8%58 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No30c333.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3214342.7%61 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe415…eec9backed Yes24c312.5$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7237054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7240953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No55c294.8$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.665523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe863…e221backed Yes11c237.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…83fcbacked Yes23c226.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No78c206$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0261441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No80c201$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.227454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x663a…75babacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-5.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4620750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…87c2backed No77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.811428.6%4 W · 10 L-4.4wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-51.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes67c180.75$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12114156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4292…9cd8backed No33c171.55$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.941936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Yes24c167.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes23c159.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3712446%57 W · 67 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed No32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2515347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed No77c155$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1521463.1%135 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x808c…b508backed Yes24c152.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90e…107abacked Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-71.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbf97…beb5backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick60cpaid-56.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaaa7…e577backed No77c129.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8726054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes14c114.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-43.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes12c108.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137116.9%12 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511946.2%55 W · 64 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211628.4%33 W · 83 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185633.9%19 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8714…4750backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d27…c460backed Yes25c96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203540%14 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddca…239abacked Yes24c84.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.246033.3%20 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ee…e354backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ea…9910backed No77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes23c77.92$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9226229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd622…c02dbacked Yes24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502934.5%10 W · 19 L-7.1wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes25c70.67$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.361,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Yes23c68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a26…39e5backed No78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14562.2%28 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c47…05dcbacked Yes22c63.77$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes21c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63348.5%16 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed No37c58.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.595855.2%32 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes22c57.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.714228.6%12 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea07…d8b7backed Yes24c54.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3211…49e2backed Yes23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes23c52.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1224044.2%106 W · 134 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c80…6f38backed Yes24c52.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5be5…8d0cbacked Yes24c45.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113925.6%10 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.