Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfee133a55f1a01104c3c18d93f2195efb0c085c18d4acc766b7e10e939674385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 74c | 21,461$15,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,652.47 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 12,035$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.96 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Yes | 13c | 7,822$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…c30ebacked Yes | 27c | 7,404$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 7,052$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…600abacked Yes | 27c | 6,300$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…5e03backed No | 73c | 5,480$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 62c | 5,016$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.33 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.98 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 60c | 4,955$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.72 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Yes | 28c | 3,929$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…a79abacked Yes | 27c | 3,710$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…f4adbacked No | 73c | 3,430$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e4…b351backed No | 73c | 3,425$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…d73cbacked No | 73c | 3,150$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 28c | 2,847$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.18 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe319…8f82backed No | 73c | 2,739$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…38cfbacked Yes | 27c | 2,590$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 6c | 2,324$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.83 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 72c | 1,912$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.88 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caa…d4f7backed No | 73c | 1,780$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 72c | 1,760$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.25 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 60c | 1,388$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.2 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 29c | 1,017$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 72c | 996$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.88 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 28c | 857.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 46c | 777.02$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.22 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 766$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 756$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 28c | 717.14$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 60c | 688.45$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.38 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 28c | 340.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 32c | 314.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 28c | 306.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…e221backed Yes | 55c | 177.79$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 171.99$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb96…a817backed Yes | 12c | 162.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…b070backed Yes | 28c | 141.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…714cbacked Yes | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Yes | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…d752backed Yes | 19c | 73.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41d…8328backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…f95abacked Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…1e2abacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 37c | 60.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…20c6backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 65c | 56.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…3e05backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed No | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…7684backed Yes | 28c | 49.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…8125backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5199…4011backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…cc5ebacked Yes | 41c | 36.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -6.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…99ebbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca25…0f35backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…9565backed No | 73c | 20.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Yes | 68c | 19.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc2…afcdbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?Yes won
- Will Fulham win on 2025-10-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.